How's this for a NW jog?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
StJoe
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 274
Age: 55
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:55 am
Location: Wellington

How's this for a NW jog?

#1 Postby StJoe » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:26 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Seems to me that ULL in Texas has some strength to it... :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:28 am

I see due WNW.
0 likes   
Top
slowjoe
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 80
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:25 pm
Location: Gainesville, FL

#3 Postby slowjoe » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:30 am

Due WNW is incorrect. It is obviously NW....take the first and last frame in photoshop and connect the eyes.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StJoe
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 274
Age: 55
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:55 am
Location: Wellington

#4 Postby StJoe » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:32 am

My sentiments exactly, thanks slowjoe! Us joe's have to stick together!
0 likes   
Top
jamima
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 40
Joined: Thu May 19, 2005 3:40 pm

#5 Postby jamima » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:33 am

I saw it the last frame had a northward jog. Just telling you what i see
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StJoe
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 274
Age: 55
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:55 am
Location: Wellington

#6 Postby StJoe » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:35 am

I believe "the cone" will shift back to the east again today by noon... :cry:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#7 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:35 am

yeah checking he satellite... I would go as far as to say Dennis has just done a NNW to N jog
Last edited by wxwatcher91 on Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:
Contact dhweather

#8 Postby dhweather » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:36 am

It was moving WNW, but the last 2-3 frames is more NW.
Wait for 6 frames to call it a change in direction.
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#9 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:37 am

I still dont see it. Sure its not just an illusion?
0 likes   
Top
slowjoe
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 80
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:25 pm
Location: Gainesville, FL

#10 Postby slowjoe » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:38 am

wxwatcher91 wrote:yeah chacking he satellite... I would go as far as to say Dennis has just done a NNW to N jog


If you look at just the last couple of frames at 11:45 12:15 12:45 there is a NNW wobble. I do expect the next few frames to go back to the NW continuing the overall NW movement.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StJoe
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 274
Age: 55
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:55 am
Location: Wellington

#11 Postby StJoe » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:38 am

Dennis now 938 Mb and 137 Kt...OK, this is really starting to suck! Anyone think cat 5? I highly doubt it, but one never knows, do they?
0 likes   
Top
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#12 Postby dwg71 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:39 am

Its not an illusion its heading 315-320 in last 4 frames
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#13 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:39 am

137 kt would mean a Cat 5. Its 140 mph right now.
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#14 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:40 am

My question is: How many new posts do we have to have on jogs? Seems like we get one every update on the SSD page. :D
0 likes   
Top
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7240
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:
Contact jlauderdal

Re: How's this for a NW jog?

#15 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:40 am

StJoe wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html

Seems to me that ULL in Texas has some strength to it... :eek:


these wobbles are an absolute shock to me....lol. so two hours ago everyone in new orleans was felling nervous now its the panhandle and key west. it will be interesting to see waht the direction is after it rolls off cuba if it ever makes it to cooba.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stratusxpeye
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 686
Joined: Tue Jun 07, 2005 10:40 am
Location: Tampa, Florida
Contact:
Contact Stratusxpeye

#16 Postby Stratusxpeye » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:45 am

On comment about CAT 5 Strength, I am in high beliefs that this will happean by 11am adv enless he takes a northward ne turn not a jog.
0 likes   
Top
Terry
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1450
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:25 pm
Location: Lakeland and Anna Maria Island, FL
Contact:
Contact Terry

#17 Postby Terry » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:47 am

After watching what some said was a wobble last year for Charley turn into a TURN, I won't feel good until Dennis is north of my latitude. (And then I won't feel "good" because somewhere, someone is going to get clobbered.)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StJoe
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 274
Age: 55
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:55 am
Location: Wellington

#18 Postby StJoe » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:47 am

Air Force Met wrote:My question is: How many new posts do we have to have on jogs? Seems like we get one every update on the SSD page. :D


I'm sorry, Dude, but when you live in SE Fla. like I do, jogs and wobbles mean much. I mean, Frances and Jeanne made landfall less than 2 miles apart from each other...Why? Because of a wobble...Sorry I mentioned it! :lol:
0 likes   
Top
sprink52
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 212
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:25 pm
Location: Royal Palm Beach, Fl

#19 Postby sprink52 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:50 am

As a human being, I hope that the Cuban government is reacting to this storm and moving those poor people in it's path out of harms way. This storm is like a 25 mile wide F3 or F4 tornado about to vacuum the island of Cuba. 8-)
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#20 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:57 am

StJoe wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:My question is: How many new posts do we have to have on jogs? Seems like we get one every update on the SSD page. :D


I'm sorry, Dude, but when you live in SE Fla. like I do, jogs and wobbles mean much. I mean, Frances and Jeanne made landfall less than 2 miles apart from each other...Why? Because of a wobble...Sorry I mentioned it! :lol:


I'm not saying don't talk about wobbles...but there are already existing threads talking about the NW movement...and it is VERY helpful to keep as much of the same topic on one thread. Starting new threads pushes everything to the bottom. Not trying to be harsh...jsut asking that we keep as many posts on one thread as possible...which is the request of the mods. There are plenty of threadsto choose from...one which was almost identical to yours...these are just on the first page...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... c88ddf1f9a

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... c88ddf1f9a

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... c88ddf1f9a

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... c88ddf1f9a
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Teban54 and 91 guests