Recon Reports Dennis

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clfenwi
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#541 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 08, 2005 3:34 am

Observation: 26
Time: 0814Z
Position: 15.8 North 82.2 West
Flight level: 4980 meters
Flight level winds 6 knots // 360

Last report for this mission, looks like the plane is headed back to Costa Rica.

According to the POD the next plane was scheduled to take off at 4 AM (EDT) and is scheduled to be on station at 7 AM so that it can take a fix for the 8 AM advisory.
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#542 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 08, 2005 4:49 am

Observation Number: 01
Time: 0930Z
Position: 17.8 North 67.2 West
Flight Level: 7320 meters
Flight level winds: 13 knots // 010
400 millibar height: 7761 meters

New mission begins

added time
corrected longitude
Last edited by clfenwi on Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#543 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 08, 2005 4:59 am

There likely find that Dennis is bombing at this time. Reason is it has a deep red Cdo. With a developing pin hole eye. Outflow is perfect.

Here is my Guest for the vortex...

They will likely find that Dennis is around 145 to 150 mph.
They may find that the pressure has droped into the mid 940s.

That is my guest lets see if I'm right!
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#544 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:02 am

Observation Number: 02
Time: 0956Z
Position: 17.9 North // 69.1 West
Flight level: 7320 meters
400 millibar height: 7762 meters

Corrected Longitude[/i]
Last edited by clfenwi on Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#545 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:04 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:There likely find that Dennis is bombing at this time. Reason is it has a deep red Cdo. With a developing pin hole eye. Outflow is perfect.

Here is my Guest for the vortex...

They will likely find that Dennis is around 145 to 150 mph.
They may find that the pressure has droped into the mid 940s.

That is my guest lets see if I'm right!


I believe the lowest pressure recorded in a hurricane before August was 946 millibars in Audrey of 1956. I think that record is about to be broken .
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#546 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:19 am

It's probably a little stronger now, maybe 140 -145 mph, but it's not likely to get to be much stronger than that, because it's not symetric yet.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#547 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:21 am

The Cdo is perfectly round. The only thing that would make it more impressive is it to turn black on Ir. The system looks very good.
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#548 Postby loon » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:22 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The Cdo is perfectly round. The only thing that would make it more impressive is it to turn black on Ir. The system looks very good.


The eye will look very nice once we get some VIS up....
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#549 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:36 am

Observation Number: 03
Time: 1024Z
Position: 17.9 North 72.0 West
Flight level: 7320 meters
400 millibar height: 7762 meters
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Pressure

#550 Postby schmita » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:43 am

clfenwi wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:There likely find that Dennis is bombing at this time. Reason is it has a deep red Cdo. With a developing pin hole eye. Outflow is perfect.

Here is my Guest for the vortex...

They will likely find that Dennis is around 145 to 150 mph.
They may find that the pressure has droped into the mid 940s.

That is my guest lets see if I'm right!


I believe the lowest pressure recorded in a hurricane before August was 946 millibars in Audrey of 1956. I think that record is about to be broken .


I thought it was Gilbert. Can someone confirm Gilbert's pressure?
Thanks
irina
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clfenwi
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Re: Pressure

#551 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:46 am

schmita wrote:
clfenwi wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:There likely find that Dennis is bombing at this time. Reason is it has a deep red Cdo. With a developing pin hole eye. Outflow is perfect.

Here is my Guest for the vortex...

They will likely find that Dennis is around 145 to 150 mph.
They may find that the pressure has droped into the mid 940s.

That is my guest lets see if I'm right!


I believe the lowest pressure recorded in a hurricane before August was 946 millibars in Audrey of 1956. I think that record is about to be broken .


I thought it was Gilbert. Can someone confirm Gilbert's pressure?
Thanks
irina


Gilbert holds the all-time record low pressure in the Atlantic basin (888 millibars). It was a September hurricane.
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schmita
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Gilbert

#552 Postby schmita » Fri Jul 08, 2005 5:51 am

Thanks,
Missed the "August" part. Too early....
irina
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#553 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 6:00 am

when is the next vortex data message being issued?? the last one was at 253am edt
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#554 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 08, 2005 6:02 am

wxwatcher91 wrote:when is the next vortex data message being issued?? the last one was at 253am edt


POD called for this mission to make a fix at 1200Z/0800 EDT.
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#555 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 08, 2005 6:07 am

Observation Number: 04
Time: 1100Z
Position: 18.3 North 74.9 West
Flight Level: 7310 meters
Flight level winds: 28 knots // 190
400 millibar height: 7761 meters

Comparing position to satellite, looks like plane has entered the outer bands from the southeast...
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