Check out this IR loop, track is not good...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#21 Postby Wnghs2007 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:37 am

Well I stand totally corrected. I just looked at the 30 frame loop and this thing clearly is going wnw if not almost due west seems that ridge that people were talking about is finally starting to effect it...

The Next Few Hours will tell the tell if it is a wobble or a new trend. If its a new trend then Houston, we have a problem...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#22 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:39 am

Na, I think in order for it to hit houston itll have to go through the Channel.
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#23 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:39 am

Houston?? Lol it would have to go due west for 2 days for them to have a chance of TS winds.
0 likes   
Top
Foladar

#24 Postby Foladar » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:40 am

Wnghs2007 wrote:Well I stand totally corrected. I just looked at the 30 frame loop and this thing clearly is going wnw if not almost due west seems that ridge that people were talking about is finally starting to effect it...

The Next Few Hours will tell the tell if it is a wobble or a new trend. If its a new trend then Houston, we have a problem...

Don't think it's going that far.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#25 Postby Swimdude » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:40 am

That would make for one heck of a peculiar and unlikely track if this were to head towards Houston. Highly unlikely. No matter what, this thing will get sucked up to the North.
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#26 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:41 am

Could the Canadian and Ukmet be on to something...

I guess we'll find out next time on...As Dennis Turns

Seriosuly, not calling Houston by any means. Too far west. However areas to N.O need to watch this closely.
Last edited by jkt21787 on Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#27 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:41 am

Wnghs2007 wrote:Well I stand totally corrected. I just looked at the 30 frame loop and this thing clearly is going wnw if not almost due west seems that ridge that people were talking about is finally starting to effect it...

The Next Few Hours will tell the tell if it is a wobble or a new trend. If its a new trend then Houston, we have a problem...


What about Houston?!?!?!?!? :eek:
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

#28 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:41 am

Amazing how a small wobble turns into "its heading for Houston".
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#29 Postby Wnghs2007 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:42 am

LOL...Cant I use reverse Psychology here.... :grrr: :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#30 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:42 am

And how a NW wobble turns into "Its heading to the Peninsula!!!"
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#31 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:42 am

I agree. Its still heading at least 315.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#32 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:42 am

The Canada did good with Ivan. It forecasted it the best...So watch it might be on to something.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#33 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:43 am

I agree. Its still heading at least 315.


Did u look at the 30 frame loop??????
0 likes   
Top
tampastorm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 434
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: TAMPA

#34 Postby tampastorm » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:43 am

Its so funny I looked at 3 different radars and saw 3 distinct different movements,lol
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#35 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:44 am

Normandy wrote:
I agree. Its still heading at least 315.


Did u look at the 30 frame loop??????

Its not going 315 at least in the last few frames, it looked like most here have been agreeing to that.
0 likes   
Top
rtd2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1183
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:45 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#36 Postby rtd2 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:44 am

Wnghs2007 wrote:Well I stand totally corrected. I just looked at the 30 frame loop and this thing clearly is going wnw if not almost due west seems that ridge that people were talking about is finally starting to effect it...

The Next Few Hours will tell the tell if it is a wobble or a new trend. If its a new trend then Houston, we have a problem...



I'm one of the strong ridge posters but I honestly thought the systen would make it just north of cuba before getting booted west then back wnw ot nw!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#37 Postby Swimdude » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:45 am

gkrangers wrote:Amazing how a small wobble turns into "its heading for Houston".


Hahahaaha amen to that! However, if we look at the loop, it's certainly moving West at the current time. This isn't just a small wobble.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#38 Postby Wnghs2007 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:45 am

Wnghs2007 wrote:LOL...Cant I use reverse Psychology here.... :grrr: :lol:



:uarrow:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#39 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:45 am

I dont think itll pass west of Havana.
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#40 Postby Stratosphere747 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:46 am

Scorpion wrote:Houston?? Lol it would have to go due west for 2 days for them to have a chance of TS winds.


Actually Scorpion, if you extrapolated and used a due WNW heading, it would hit C to W LA, and would depending on the size would give at least Galveston TS winds possibly..
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 513 guests