Eyewall looks torn open!

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HKY
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#21 Postby HKY » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:16 am

It's an eyewall replacement cycle. There has been no dry air entrainment. It's got that classic 'chip' look just west of the eye on satellite representation. It may weaken slightly, only to strengthen once the ERC has completed.
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LSU2001
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#22 Postby LSU2001 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:17 am

Thanks guys,
I heard that comment at the end and I thought it was kinda strange but I know very little about these things.
TIm
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#23 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:17 am

This enviroment is very favable. If it was not for Cuba, Dennis would most likely be on his way to becoming a cat5. I expect he will still out of the water for another 12 to 18 hours. Then make landfall over flater part of Cuba some time later tomarrow. I expect this storm to quickly get it back together.
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#24 Postby banshee » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:17 am

Ah, thanks much
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Normandy
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#25 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:17 am

Eyewall is starting to strengthen again on the W side.
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gkrangers

#26 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:18 am

Normandy wrote:Eyewall is starting to strengthen again on the W side.
Yeah..it looks closed again...WP-3 is enroute and should be there very soon.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#27 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:18 am

The water south of Cuba is over 90 degrees an places.
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#28 Postby ericinmia » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:19 am

Look at a quality loop zoomed in. Select 100% quality.

You will see the northwester section of the CDO was much leaner than its southern counterpart, as it was wrapping convection.
It hit the protrusion from cuba right at this point, when the northwest eyewall was weak. This is why it broke open.
-Eric
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#29 Postby Swimdude » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:21 am

I think what he may've been referring to is when a very WEAK tropical system falls apart and forms a new area of LLC. However, this isn't possible in a monster hurricane such as what we're dealing with.
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#30 Postby LSU2001 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:24 am

no swimdude they were talking about dennis tonight.
It was an off hand comment and the other guys said that it was too early to tell if it was a wobble or what. The were not talking about center reformations like what happend with cindy.
Like I said it sounded strange but I didn't know so I asked.
TIm
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