Eyewall looks torn open!

[ericinmia]

It appears the storm's eye was torn open after crossing part of cuba.

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrwv.html

Create a loop and zoom in.....

to this image:

[jkt21787]

I'm not surprised by this. Maybe this is a little fast though. A slow weakening trend overall will surely commence soon if not already.

[gkrangers]

It should get back together over water tonight.

Thats what those mountains did to it.

[Derek Ortt]

one not so good sign though


look how circular that outflow is becoming. Shear appears to have also went the way of the SAL in the GOM, on vacation

[jkt21787]

It should get back together over water tonight.

Thats what those mountains did to it.

And thats just crossing the tip (if the mountains really did that...not sure)

[rtd2]

It appears the storm's eye was torn open after crossing part of cuba.

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrwv.html

Create a loop and zoom in.....

to this image:

Nice Call! Knocked a good Hole in the core! Maybe back to cat 3 ,,,Shouldnt Recover until its in open water in GOMEX...

[gkrangers]

It should get back together over water tonight.

Thats what those mountains did to it.

And thats just crossing the tip (if the mountains really did that...not sure)

Well supposedly that little peninsula is very mountainous.

[jkt21787]

It should get back together over water tonight.

Thats what those mountains did to it.

And thats just crossing the tip (if the mountains really did that...not sure)

Well supposedly that little peninsula is very mountainous.

If thats the case then, Dennis could really be torn apart in the mainland (still of course depending on its exact track there)

[ALhurricane]

I wouldn't write it off just yet before crossing cuba again. it already looks like it is try to regorganize it's west side, plus it still looks intact on radar.

[ericinmia]

I wouldn't write it off just yet before crossing cuba again. it already looks like it is try to regorganize it's west side, plus it still looks intact on radar.

How quick does the radar update? It might not show the incident yet?

[gkrangers]

It should get back together over water tonight.

Thats what those mountains did to it.

And thats just crossing the tip (if the mountains really did that...not sure)

Well supposedly that little peninsula is very mountainous.

If thats the case then, Dennis could really be torn apart in the mainland (still of course depending on its exact track there)

The bottomline is Dennis is an extremely healthy hurricane...no dry air..no shear..it will survive Cuba as a hurricane. Then its up to the gulf to see if it stays "weak" as a Cat 2...or if it deepens into a 3/4 again.

Dennis probably saw his heyday right before he impacted that peninsula.

[Innotech]

the storm didnt really impact hte high mountains htat much on Granma. It went a bit west of them, but seems to have delivered a huge punch to the town of Pilon. Im guessing its oging though another cycle.

[LSU2001]

one of the mets on radio ncwx was saying right at the end of the broadcast that the eye may be reforming farther south. did anyone else here that comment and if so what do you think of it.
TIM

[Derek Ortt]

an eye does not reform. That is physically impossible. This is not a diffuse center

[gkrangers]

an eye does not reform. That is physically impossible. This is not a diffuse center

^^ what he said.

[banshee]

Derek can you explain that please. I read here last season about a 'new eye'. If it doesnt reform what does it do?

[Hurricane Cheese]

For comparison sake, here's the IR imagery that is linked from the NHC site...



Still looks quite impressive to me on there, and with the center back over those very very warm waters just south of Cuba, I would be inclined that this may be more of an ERC than interaction with mountains. I mean, it barely covered much land at all with that clip of the pennisula.

The deep reds also appear to be wrapping back around the center. It will be interesting to see what Dennis looks like in about 4 hours or so. And as Derek stated, the outflow certainly looks impressive.

Right now, I believe it's way too premature, and possibly flat out inaccurate, to say he's been "torn apart" at all by his brief land interaction.

[wayoutfront]

doesn't look bad to me


added.... sorry for the duplicating the image, guess we were looking at the same time

[ericinmia]

Derek can you explain that please. I read here last season about a 'new eye'. If it doesnt reform what does it do?

Dereck is saying a new eye can't just pop up somewhere else.

Eye wall replacement cycles are when an outer eye wall forms and then the inner wall collapses. This is what is occuring when people mention that the eye is new, or what not.

Since the eye is the center of circulation it can't move to a new spot and pop up there instead.
-Eric

Watch a good water vapor loop of the storm going over the land, it rips open right as its emerging back over water.

[gkrangers]

Derek can you explain that please. I read here last season about a 'new eye'. If it doesnt reform what does it do?

I think its just that its impossible for the low level circulation to reform elsewhere. The eye can fill in, but the circulation center remains the same.