Louisiana out of the woods?

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crazycajuncane
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#41 Postby crazycajuncane » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:33 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:All of the reasonable models are showing a FL/MS landing. Far from NOLA. Don't be foolish and think this will hit NOLA because I know for sure it won't.


He knows for sure it won't. Come one mods. Ban this guy for once. This is getting ot of control... like I said last night.

You can't expect everyone to ignore him if that's the first post they read from this guy. New posters aren't aware of him and may fall for what he says. He should be banned.
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#42 Postby Ixolib » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:35 pm

crazycajuncane wrote:
EarthStormFire wrote:All of the reasonable models are showing a FL/MS landing. Far from NOLA. Don't be foolish and think this will hit NOLA because I know for sure it won't.


He knows for sure it won't. Come one mods. Ban this guy for once. This is getting ot of control... like I said last night.

You can't expect everyone to ignore him if that's the first post they read from this guy. New posters aren't aware of him and may fall for what he says. He should be banned.


Yeah, I just PMed VB, but then he logged off, so he probably didn't get it. Any other mods wanna do the dew??
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#43 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:36 pm

EarthStormFire, any last words?
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#44 Postby EarthStormFire » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:37 pm

I am only trying to help. I am just stating my opinion. i don't see why so many people have to evacuate when most of them won't be hit. I am trying to calm fears and make people see reason and think logically. Logic says NOLA is safe.
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#45 Postby LSU2001 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:38 pm

Thanks Mods, Your great!!!!!!!!!! :notworthy: :woo:
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#46 Postby swimaster20 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:38 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:I am only trying to help. I am just stating my opinion. i don't see why so many people have to evacuate when most of them won't be hit. I am trying to calm fears and make people see reason and think logically. Logic says NOLA is safe.


Better Safe than Sorry!
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#47 Postby crazycajuncane » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:38 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:I am only trying to help. I am just stating my opinion. i don't see why so many people have to evacuate when most of them won't be hit. I am trying to calm fears and make people see reason and think logically. Logic says NOLA is safe.


Cause if that storms takes a turn at the last minute... would you want to be the one responsible for telling people not to worry?

Think about life and death here. Think LOGICALLY!
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#48 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:39 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:I am only trying to help. I am just stating my opinion. i don't see why so many people have to evacuate when most of them won't be hit. I am trying to calm fears and make people see reason and think logically. Logic says NOLA is safe.

Those were great last words. Logic isn't everything in science and Logic should tell you ANYTHING is possible.

Goodbye and good riddance.
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#49 Postby Huckster » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:41 pm

It might seem like NO is safe right now, I and i think it will be, but you cannot let it off the hook yet with Gospel assurance. A slight change in track or increase in the strength of the ridge could send this thing into NO instead of Pensacola or farther east. Even the extrapolated track from the 00 run of the models takes the storm dangerously close...
Image
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#50 Postby BRCop » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:03 pm

I can't go to sleep. It seems every morning I wake up to a new set of models and everything has changed. New Orleans is safe tonight. I bet I wake up Friday morning and the models have moved west. The NHC is good one day and bad the next. The models are shifting, no it's a fluctuation. Wait for three runs before making a call. This whole thing is exhausting! Somehow life was simpler when I was a kid. Mom would call me in and tell me a hurricane was going to hit in the morning.
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#51 Postby Steve » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:06 pm

Please don't ban that guy. He's funny as hell. While he's probably a troll, I think he's damn funny.

Sorry I guess :)

Steve
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#52 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:07 pm

BRCop wrote:I can't go to sleep. It seems every morning I wake up to a new set of models and everything has changed. New Orleans is safe tonight. I bet I wake up Friday morning and the models have moved west. The NHC is good one day and bad the next. The models are shifting, no it's a fluctuation. Wait for three runs before making a call. This whole thing is exhausting! Somehow life was simpler when I was a kid. Mom would call me in and tell me a hurricane was going to hit in the morning.

The person who said NOLA was safe tonight has no reasoning to back up his claim. Do not trust his advice, continue to watch this storm for further developments.
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#53 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:08 pm

BRCop wrote:I can't go to sleep. It seems every morning I wake up to a new set of models and everything has changed. New Orleans is safe tonight. I bet I wake up Friday morning and the models have moved west. The NHC is good one day and bad the next. The models are shifting, no it's a fluctuation. Wait for three runs before making a call. This whole thing is exhausting! Somehow life was simpler when I was a kid. Mom would call me in and tell me a hurricane was going to hit in the morning.


Well, tomorrow morning's models are the big one. Tomorrow morning is what local officials are basing SELa evacs on. Hopefully they don't shift back to the west. I'd hate to see the massive evacuation in place and then the storm still go to the NHC's forecast. This would be strike 3 (Georges, Ivan, and Dennis). Next time we might have another threat and I don't believe people will leave.
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#54 Postby crazycajuncane » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:09 pm

Being from Louisiana... we always start out in the cone for every storm. We get pulled out and then sometimes back in. It's a roller coaster ride altogether.

I have a feeling this storm will do just like all the others last year. It's going to land EAST of the original nHC tracks.
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#55 Postby MGC » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:11 pm

If you are dumb enough to believe what you read on this site than you are a big dummie. Lots of posts are false, wrong or malicious. Grain of salt my friends.....MGC
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#56 Postby BRCop » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:14 pm

By the way, WAFB announced at 2200 hrs. that hotel rooms were still available in Baton Rouge. They stated that they would be full by noon Friday. I hope this info helps someone.
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#57 Postby Innotech » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:17 pm

crazycajuncane wrote:Being from Louisiana... we always start out in the cone for every storm. We get pulled out and then sometimes back in. It's a roller coaster ride altogether.

I have a feeling this storm will do just like all the others last year. It's going to land EAST of the original nHC tracks.


except with Lili, in which case we pretty much stayed in the cone until landfall, which was right up our ass literally. One of the only high rise buildings (I htink a bank) in town got hit by a tornado and hte 3rd floor contents got sucked out of it.
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#58 Postby Lindaloo » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:57 pm

Ixolib wrote:Yeah, I just PMed VB, but then he logged off, so he probably didn't get it. Any other mods wanna do the dew??



I did the dew. :D :lol:
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#59 Postby crazycajuncane » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:10 am

Innotech wrote:
crazycajuncane wrote:Being from Louisiana... we always start out in the cone for every storm. We get pulled out and then sometimes back in. It's a roller coaster ride altogether.

I have a feeling this storm will do just like all the others last year. It's going to land EAST of the original nHC tracks.


except with Lili, in which case we pretty much stayed in the cone until landfall, which was right up our arse literally. One of the only high rise buildings (I htink a bank) in town got hit by a tornado and hte 3rd floor contents got sucked out of it.


I remember that. Lili was an exception. I was mainly talking about last years storms.

Lili... oh how I remember. Thank god Lili lost a lot of juice before landfall.
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#60 Postby Ixolib » Fri Jul 08, 2005 1:36 am

Lindaloo wrote:
Ixolib wrote:Yeah, I just PMed VB, but then he logged off, so he probably didn't get it. Any other mods wanna do the dew??



I did the dew. :D :lol:


:D :wink:
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