>>I think they are still recovering from Hurricane Cindy oops I meant Tropical Storm Cindy
Ain't that the truth. I got 4 hours of sleep. I need to catch up tonight and tomorrow. But I also think it's time to bust open a bottle of wine.
247 baby!
Steve
Louisiana out of the woods?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
A hurricane is just another reason to drink hurricane in NOLA 
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
LOL Steve!
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Look at my post of the last three models runs on the second page of this thread:
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66731
While Pensacola is ground zero in the latest runs, the models did
shift back westward, so I don't think Louisiana is out of the picture
at all.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66731
While Pensacola is ground zero in the latest runs, the models did
shift back westward, so I don't think Louisiana is out of the picture
at all.
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Mississippi Storm Magnet
- Tropical Storm
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goodlife
- Category 1
- Posts: 331
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- Location: Mandeville, Louisiana
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I watched his broadcast on channel 8 at 9:00....
let me check and see if he has any graphics on their website.
nope...nothing there....
the website anyway is http://www.fox8live.com
Oh...and Bob Breck has his own website...I haven't looked at it yet.
http://www.bobbreck.com
let me check and see if he has any graphics on their website.
nope...nothing there....
the website anyway is http://www.fox8live.com
Oh...and Bob Breck has his own website...I haven't looked at it yet.
http://www.bobbreck.com
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Maybe Bob should look at this. If Port Arthur TEXAS is on the chart, then
maybe Louisiana is too.
<pre>
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.0N 81.2W 48 X X X 48 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 24 1 X 26
24.8N 83.1W 5 29 X X 34 FT MYERS FL X 20 3 1 24
26.8N 84.6W X 14 13 1 28 VENICE FL X 16 8 X 24
MUGM 200N 751W 2 X X X 2 TAMPA FL X 6 13 2 21
MUCM 214N 779W 70 X X X 70 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 14 4 19
MUCF 221N 805W 58 X X X 58 ST MARKS FL X X 10 9 19
MUSN 216N 826W 19 2 X X 21 APALACHICOLA FL X X 14 7 21
MUHA 230N 824W 35 3 X X 38 PANAMA CITY FL X X 11 10 21
MUAN 219N 850W 1 4 1 1 7 PENSACOLA FL X X 4 15 19
MYAK 241N 776W 3 1 X X 4 MOBILE AL X X 2 15 17
MYGF 266N 787W X 2 1 1 4 GULFPORT MS X X 1 15 16
MARATHON FL 20 13 X X 33 BURAS LA X X 1 13 14
MIAMI FL 2 15 1 X 18 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 12 12
W PALM BEACH FL X 9 3 X 12 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 7 7
FT PIERCE FL X 4 6 1 11 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL X 2 7 2 11 GULF 29N 85W X X 18 5 23
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 7 4 11 GULF 29N 87W X X 12 9 21
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 4 6 10 GULF 28N 89W X X 5 10 15
SAVANNAH GA X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 91W X X X 8 8
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
KEY WEST FL 22 14 X 1 37
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
</pre>
maybe Louisiana is too.
<pre>
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.0N 81.2W 48 X X X 48 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 24 1 X 26
24.8N 83.1W 5 29 X X 34 FT MYERS FL X 20 3 1 24
26.8N 84.6W X 14 13 1 28 VENICE FL X 16 8 X 24
MUGM 200N 751W 2 X X X 2 TAMPA FL X 6 13 2 21
MUCM 214N 779W 70 X X X 70 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 14 4 19
MUCF 221N 805W 58 X X X 58 ST MARKS FL X X 10 9 19
MUSN 216N 826W 19 2 X X 21 APALACHICOLA FL X X 14 7 21
MUHA 230N 824W 35 3 X X 38 PANAMA CITY FL X X 11 10 21
MUAN 219N 850W 1 4 1 1 7 PENSACOLA FL X X 4 15 19
MYAK 241N 776W 3 1 X X 4 MOBILE AL X X 2 15 17
MYGF 266N 787W X 2 1 1 4 GULFPORT MS X X 1 15 16
MARATHON FL 20 13 X X 33 BURAS LA X X 1 13 14
MIAMI FL 2 15 1 X 18 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 12 12
W PALM BEACH FL X 9 3 X 12 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 7 7
FT PIERCE FL X 4 6 1 11 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL X 2 7 2 11 GULF 29N 85W X X 18 5 23
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 7 4 11 GULF 29N 87W X X 12 9 21
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 4 6 10 GULF 28N 89W X X 5 10 15
SAVANNAH GA X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 91W X X X 8 8
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
KEY WEST FL 22 14 X 1 37
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
</pre>
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timNms
- Category 5
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- Location: Seminary, Mississippi
- Contact:
When all is said and done, SOMEONE is going to take a hit from Dennis. And probably he's going to be packing a big punch when he makes his visit. Right now, it's a watch and see game for most all of us who live along and near the Gulf Coast. It would be wise for all to pay close attention to the NHC, and to be prepared for the worst.
While it's fun for all of us to guess and predict where this thing will go, the bottom line is NOONE really knows because after all, we have no control over the weather. ONe thing that we can all feel pretty certain about is that the models will shift east and west for the next day or two before coming into agreement on the final target. It's funny how sometimes they are off even a day out. (Georges, Elena, Camille come to mind) I know that the models and methods of today are much better than what was used way back during Camille's reign of terror, but until a day or two before she hit Mississippi, the NHC was calling for a Florida strike.
Guess I said all of that to say that everyone along the gulf coast and those of us inland should make preparations NOW, just in case Dennis decides to pay our house a visit.
While it's fun for all of us to guess and predict where this thing will go, the bottom line is NOONE really knows because after all, we have no control over the weather. ONe thing that we can all feel pretty certain about is that the models will shift east and west for the next day or two before coming into agreement on the final target. It's funny how sometimes they are off even a day out. (Georges, Elena, Camille come to mind) I know that the models and methods of today are much better than what was used way back during Camille's reign of terror, but until a day or two before she hit Mississippi, the NHC was calling for a Florida strike.
Guess I said all of that to say that everyone along the gulf coast and those of us inland should make preparations NOW, just in case Dennis decides to pay our house a visit.
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LSU2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1711
- Age: 58
- Joined: Sat Sep 11, 2004 11:01 pm
- Location: Cut Off, Louisiana
Would someone please ban this troll!!!!!!!!!!!!!
NOLA is STILL in the Cone!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
NOLA is STILL in the Cone!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
EarthStormFire
EarthStormFire wrote:All of the reasonable models are showing a FL/MS landing. Far from NOLA. Don't be foolish and think this will hit NOLA because I know for sure it won't.
UKMET is a very good and reasonable model.
I don't think this is a N.O. storm anymore, but to say with 100% certainty that NOLA is safe is completely stupid and exposes yourself as nothing more than a troll most likely.
Thank God nobody is listening to this foolish advice.
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skysummit
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EarthStormFire wrote:All of the reasonable models are showing a FL/MS landing. Far from NOLA. Don't be foolish and think this will hit NOLA because I know for sure it won't.
Ok, I promise I won't be foolish since you know for sure. Thank you for your insight.
Really kid....you must stop posting unknowledgable information.
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