Recon Reports Dennis

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SouthernWx

#461 Postby SouthernWx » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:41 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:No its not maybe at the lowest 125 knots.


More like 115-120 kts...a "Hugo-like" cat-4 monster :eek:

850 mb: 146 kt - 20% = 117 kt (or 135 mph) at the surface

925 mb: 140 kt - 15% = 119 kt (or 137 mph) at the surface

PW
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#462 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:42 pm

Where is a Pro when you need one??? In 925 milibars it was still 140 knots...
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#463 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:42 pm

seahawkjd wrote:If simple math applies to this 10 percent of 146 is 14.6. 20 percent rounded would be 30. 146 - 30 = 116.


Math is not the real question, it is the altitude of 850 and 925 mb. What is the ratio at the respective levels to correlate to surface speed?
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#464 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:42 pm

Normandy wrote:Dennis is torturing that tip, hes jogging west right alongside it :(


Which means the eastern eyewall is pounding the coast.

They don't have luxury homes that can withstand those winds either. Remember how destructive Charley was as a Cat 3??? This is crossing more of the island too... going to be lashing the south coast all night.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#465 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:43 pm

Thanks southernwx
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#466 Postby Normandy » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:44 pm

Which means the eastern eyewall is pounding the coast.

They don't have luxury homes that can withstand those winds either. Remember how destructive Charley was as a Cat 3??? This is crossing more of the island too... going to be lashing the south coast all night.


Well the northern, not eastern eyewall....if it comes ashore then theyd get the eastern. Still the northern wall is strong....needs to stop torturing them and cross the coast.
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#467 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:49 pm

I thought your estimates were too high, Matt.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#468 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:52 pm

Still learning....
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#469 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:53 pm

Brent wrote:850 mb is 10,000 feet, right?

Derek? AFM?

Either way... it's a Cat 4. Poor Cuba. :(


The 850 millibar height for that observation was 1148 meters, which is approximately 3766 feet.
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#470 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:54 pm

So what's the lowest pressure measured from recon???
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#471 Postby Praxus » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:56 pm

Its pretty wierd that Stormcarib.com doesn't have a Cuba forum.
It would be interesting to see posts from people there...
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#472 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:57 pm

We got to wait for a vortex.
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#473 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:57 pm

Praxus wrote:Its pretty wierd that Stormcarib.com doesn't have a Cuba forum.
It would be interesting to see posts from people there...


People are allowed to have internet access in Cuba?? :eek:
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#474 Postby feederband » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:58 pm

We should fly over cubas air space anyway.. What are the going to do send migs into the cane to shoot it down...we need more recon...
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#475 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:00 pm

They know better then to try anything. We would blow there planes out of the sky.

It might be a good idea to put guns or something on the recon if so.
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#476 Postby baitism » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:00 pm

feederband wrote:We should fly over cubas air space anyway.. What are the going to do send migs into the cane to shoot it down...we need more recon...



They arent letting us now? Sad that the average person suffers because of Castro. When is that old fart going to croak.
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#477 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:01 pm

URNT11 KNHC 080150
97779 01394 60194 77119 30500 21070 08088 /3049
RMK AF307 WX04A DENNIS OB 06
RADAR CENTER FIX 19.7N 77.4W CIRCULAR EYE 16NM DIAMETER, OPEN SW. GOOD RADAR PRESENTATION. NAV ACCURACY 1 NM.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#478 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:02 pm

If that old kook has a problem then we need to arm the recon. Recon is airforce.


:x
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#479 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:06 pm

URNT11 KNHC 080124

97779 01214 60186 76249 30600 20042 07078 /3141
RMK AF307 WX04A DENNIS OB 05

Plane:AF308
Observation Number:5
Time: 0124Z
Position: 18.6 North 76.2 West
Flight Level: 3060 meters
Flight level winds: 42 knots // 200
700 millibar height: 3141 meters
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#480 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:07 pm

Thunder44 wrote:URNT11 KNHC 080150
97779 01394 60194 77119 30500 21070 08088 /3049
RMK AF307 WX04A DENNIS OB 06
RADAR CENTER FIX 19.7N 77.4W CIRCULAR EYE 16NM DIAMETER, OPEN SW. GOOD RADAR PRESENTATION. NAV ACCURACY 1 NM.


Plane: AF307
Time: 0150Z
Position: 19.4 N 77.1 W
Flight level: 3050 meters
Flight level winds: 70 knots // 200
700 millibar height: 3049 meters
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