Dennis strength..

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Josephine96

Dennis strength..

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:38 pm

Just a simple question of sorts here..

If Dennis is already @ 130 mph.. How strong could he possibly get..? Or will he not get much stronger since he has to pass Western Cuba 1st..?
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beenthru6
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#2 Postby beenthru6 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:41 pm

I did hear Steve Lyons say that they hadconfirmed a 140mph wind gust in the ne quadrant of Dennis.
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#3 Postby Radar » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:44 pm

I dont think he is going through just Western Cuba it looks as though he will hit Central Cuba dead on. I suppose if Cuba doesnt slow it down it could be a Cat 4 or Cat 5 before making a landfall again in the US
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Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:44 pm

That's a lot of wind..
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#5 Postby nolecaster » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:48 pm

We still do have a long wy to go to get to Cat 5. Remember it has to be absolutely perfect to support a Cat 5. I guess it could happen, but it's probably unlikely.
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Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:50 pm

No Cat 5's please :eek: :wink:
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#7 Postby feederband » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:50 pm

What the equation for getting what the mph is from kts. I think I ask this every year..
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#8 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:53 pm

No Cat 5, not with this storm.

Cat 4 hits Cuba, weakens to Cat 2 over Cuba, and strengthens to a strong 3 in the gulf.

Thats my call given the current setup...
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#9 Postby Mattie » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:53 pm

A loose translation - - - (there is a mathmatical formula)

45 KT = 50 MPH, 50 KT = 60 MPH
80 KT = 90 MPH, 85 KT = 100 MPH
110 KT = 125 MPH, 115 KT = 135 MPH*
145 KT = 165 MPH, 150 KT = 175 MPH
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#10 Postby weatherlover427 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:54 pm

I think it's 1.15 mph = 1 kt or something like that, could be reversed though...
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#11 Postby HurryKane » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:58 pm

feederband wrote:What the equation for getting what the mph is from kts. I think I ask this every year..


Go to http://www.google.com . If you want to know what say, 88 knots is in mph, type this in the search bar:

88 knots in mph

and Google will make the conversion for you. Very handy. There's also lists of knots to mph conversions for almost all values for tropical storms to cat 5 canes but I can't remember the link.
Last edited by HurryKane on Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#12 Postby BamaMan » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:59 pm

Go to this site and it will give you a Knot to MPH calculator. Handy

http://makmilling.com/new_page_7.htm
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#13 Postby feederband » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:00 pm

Thanx every one... 8-)
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#14 Postby Valkhorn » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:00 pm

Multiply knots by 1.1515151515151515

:P

Its easy to remember. Just remember 1 dot 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
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Josephine96

#15 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:12 pm

Yeah.. easy to remember if you're a mathematics major lol
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#16 Postby canegrl04 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:46 pm

My call on Dennis- he weakens to cat 2 after crossing Cuba,then hits the US at cat 4 strength
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#17 Postby soonertwister » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:59 pm

Dennis is going to make two landfalls in Cuba. The first landfall is imminent, on a peninsular spur on the south side of the island, south and west of Manzanillo.

Dennis is going to cross Cuba well east of Havana. I do not perceive that as good news for Florida.
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#18 Postby soonertwister » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:12 pm

Valkhorn wrote:Multiply knots by 1.1515151515151515

:P

Its easy to remember. Just remember 1 dot 15 15 15 15 15 15 15


That is incorrect. The formula carried out to several decimal places for each knot is 1.150779448 miles. A "per" suffiix implies speed.

That conversion factor is recent, from the U.S. Department of Commerce's National Institute of Standards and Technology, Boulder Laboratories, Boulder, Colorado.

It is the epicenter of world measurement standards, and it is less than one mile from my home.

Multiplying knots by 1.15 is perfectly acceptable and more than accurate enough for hurricane wind speed, since the NHC always assigns a wind speed rounded down to the nearest 5 knots for every advisory.

Any higher level of precision is worthless, since your working data isn't nearly as precise. Winds are variable and depend on many factors. Estimating to a greater accuracy than 5 knots is not only unnecessary, it's confusing.


Edited to change "world standards" to "world measurement standards"
Edited, minor grammatical correction.
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#19 Postby NC George » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:30 pm

Which also mean the flight level windspeed in knots is about the same as ground level windspeed in MPH, within +- 5%.
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#20 Postby Hurrilurker » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:55 pm

If you run Mac OS X Tiger, there is a built-in Dashboard widget called Unit Converter that is extremely handy for this stuff. It can convert all kinds of hurricane-related stuff, such as nautical miles ("knots" in terms of per hour) to miles to kilometers, celsius to fahrenheit, millibars to inches or centimeters of mercury to atmospheres, etc.

Another cool thing you can do is open up multiple World Clock widgets. I have one for my time (PST), one for U.S. East Coast time, and one for UTC/"Zulu" time. There are also widgets for collecting and viewing satellite imagery, NHC discussions, Doppler radar, and other fun stuff that I haven't had time to play around with yet. Check them out here.
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