Solid NW movement may come to an end soon

[dhweather]

ULL to the north is helping Dennis turn more westerly.....MGC

Notice the ULL in the BOC also - perhaps slightly pulling Dennis?

[Ivanhater]

i think the problem is most people are looking at noaa satellite, this one is updated morehttp://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ov ... st_full+12

[dwg71]

I would rather have Alhurricane or a pro met come back and give his/her opinion on the current movement and new implications for the the future track rather than listening to this back and forth between the two sides (NW movement, FL hit; WNW movement, non-FL hit),

Current movement is undisputable with recon fixes and NHC 3 hour fixes, future course is up for debate, current motion is not.

11:00AM NHC 18.0N 75.6W
04:00PM NHC 19.0N 76.6W

Thats northwest, period.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Ivan pulled this kind of you know what. Its eye faded into a ERC then BOOM. I expect Dennis will try it to durning the next 6 to 12 hours. West-northwest or slightly to the north of that.

[goodlife]

Well.....I don't know what a ridge looks like....anyone care to describe it so I can try and pick it out on a map?
thanks!

[Agua]

I wish some one would post a link to whatever it is they're seeing that causes them to conclude it has turned back to a wnw motion, because everything I've looked at shows NW motion.

[Foladar]

5pm forecast says it is STILL NW .

[jkt21787]

I would rather have Alhurricane or a pro met come back and give his/her opinion on the current movement and new implications for the the future track rather than listening to this back and forth between the two sides (NW movement, FL hit; WNW movement, non-FL hit),

Current movement is undisputable with recon fixes and NHC 3 hour fixes, future course is up for debate, current motion is not.

11:00AM NHC 18.0N 75.6W
Last recon 18.9N 76.6W

Thats northwest, period.

I'll put in my opinion now that I've really looked at the sat...Its going more NW than WNW, thats for sure.

[NorthGaWeather]

I would rather have Alhurricane or a pro met come back and give his/her opinion on the current movement and new implications for the the future track rather than listening to this back and forth between the two sides (NW movement, FL hit; WNW movement, non-FL hit),

Current movement is undisputable with recon fixes and NHC 3 hour fixes, future course is up for debate, current motion is not.

11:00AM NHC 18.0N 75.6W
Last recon 18.9N 76.6W

Thats northwest, period.

Putting your gibberish aside. There was a WNW wobble in there and I'm sure you can see it.

[deltadog03]

Well.....I don't know what a ridge looks like....anyone care to describe it so I can try and pick it out on a map?
thanks!

yeah...look at the water vapor loop or even the sat...the clouds over florida and northern cuba are moving from the east to the west...that is idicative of a RIDGE...winds flow clockwise in the NH..that will push dennis more WNW

[dwg71]

I wish some one would post a link to whatever it is they're seeing that causes them to conclude it has turned back to a wnw motion, because everything I've looked at shows NW motion.

Please refer to recon thread, it gives current coordinate, do trust what you see on your computer screen trying to analyze update by update.

The trend is your friend...

[Roxy]

Well.....I don't know what a ridge looks like....anyone care to describe it so I can try and pick it out on a map?
thanks!

GL, I have no idea what a ridge looks like either, but supposedly you can see one at this link?



http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

Hope you guys stay safe over there!

[margaritabeach]

how do you say the ridge is retreating...cuz tampa says it is...come on...and good point..the ULL is helping to the west as well...it has been NW most of the day, but, now WNW

someone needs to tell recon their fixes are off then

[goodlife]

Well.....I don't know what a ridge looks like....anyone care to describe it so I can try and pick it out on a map?
thanks!

yeah...look at the water vapor loop or even the sat...the clouds over florida and northern cuba are moving from the east to the west...that is idicative of a RIDGE...winds flow clockwise in the NH..that will push dennis more WNW

Well...if THAT'S what the ridge is...then it looks to me like it's moving further into the gulf!
Somebody needs to back that thing up.....I'm in favor of this more easterly course tyvm...

[margaritabeach]

I agree the setup is looking to move it wnw in the near future but not currently'

Hurricane center located near 19.0n 76.6w at 07/2100z
position accurate within 15 nm

present movement toward the northwest or 310 degrees at 13 kt

[dhweather]

I think the point of this thread was that conditions may become more favorable for a WNW movement as Dennis approaches the ridge.
He's not close enough yet, but clearly the ridge is in place.

I do not think this threads purpose was to say it is moving WNW RIGHT NOW.

[dwg71]

I think the point of this thread was that conditions may become more favorable for a WNW movement as Dennis approaches the ridge.
He's not close enough yet, but clearly the ridge is in place.

I do not think this threads purpose was to say it is moving WNW RIGHT NOW.

It wasnt the OP's purpose but it evolved into that. But, alas ,NHC put it all to rest with their 4PM EST update. 310/13

[deltadog03]

I think the point of this thread was that conditions may become more favorable for a WNW movement as Dennis approaches the ridge.
He's not close enough yet, but clearly the ridge is in place.

I do not think this threads purpose was to say it is moving WNW RIGHT NOW.

thank you...i am saying coming upstream...the ridge will help that westward movement

[Eyes2theSkies]

this is a comedy act...wish i could post the theme song to the Benny Hill show

[dhweather]

I think the point of this thread was that conditions may become more favorable for a WNW movement as Dennis approaches the ridge.
He's not close enough yet, but clearly the ridge is in place.

I do not think this threads purpose was to say it is moving WNW RIGHT NOW.

It wasnt the OP's purpose but it evolved into that. But, alas ,NHC put it all to rest with their 4PM EST update. 310/13

Dennis is clearly moving NW - no argument about that.

I stillbelieve that one he gets closer to the ridge, later today/tonight,
he'll add more of a westward componet to his path.