Solid NW movement may come to an end soon

[CalmBeforeStorm]

It has shifted back to the west-northwest. Which could be a sign(Like Isabel,Ivan,Gilbert) That this is about ready to bomb again.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Based on what?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It is weaking because of the ERC after the ERC watch it bomb like crazy. Every one of those storms I pointed out did so.

[skysummit]

I'm reading conflicting things.

Some say the ridge will hold, others say not.

What the hell is going on with the ridge?

If I had that answer I'd be pretty popular right now, yes?

Yes you would. Right now everyone seems to be seeing what they want to see.

to try and help...the ridge is holding just fine, and looks to be building westward over the gulf..

This is an example. I know what I see, but I care not to share it at this moment. Some people see the ridge building west, some people see the ridge retreating east. I wonder how many people acutally know what a ridge looks like?

Welll, I know one thing, you didn't do very well at not "sharing" what you thought, hehehe

LOL

[margaritabeach]

It is weaking because of the ERC after the ERC watch it bomb like crazy. Every one of those storms I pointed out did so.

what are you basing the wnw direction by?

[deltadog03]

looks like the ERC is shooting it west...

[CalmBeforeStorm]

It is weaking because of the ERC after the ERC watch it bomb like crazy. Every one of those storms I pointed out did so.

I meant what do you base a WNW present movement on?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Satellite loops appears that it has turned more to the west-northwest. After it gets done with this ERC then this is going to tighten again fast. I expect cat4 landfall on Cuba.

[Foladar]

It is weaking because of the ERC after the ERC watch it bomb like crazy. Every one of those storms I pointed out did so.

I meant what do you base a WNW present movement on?

I'm thinking his eyes probably.

[CalmBeforeStorm]

Satellite loops appears that it has turned more to the west-northwest. After it gets done with this ERC then this is going to tighten again fast. I expect cat4 landfall on Cuba.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
No loop I've watched even hints at a WNW course.

[MGC]

ULL to the north is helping Dennis turn more westerly.....MGC

[CalmBeforeStorm]

It is weaking because of the ERC after the ERC watch it bomb like crazy. Every one of those storms I pointed out did so.

I meant what do you base a WNW present movement on?

I'm thinking his eyes probably.

I don't understand it. Now that Dennis has an eye it's very easy to put a piece of paper on a screen and follow the direction of the latest loops and that direction is still almost due NW. There is no guess work involved.

[baitism]

The last couple frames are more WNW, but it could just be a wobble.

[dwg71]

Satellite loops appears that it has turned more to the west-northwest. After it gets done with this ERC then this is going to tighten again fast. I expect cat4 landfall on Cuba.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
No loop I've watched even hints at a WNW course.

And recon data backs NW course. WNW will not happen (IMO) it will continue course as ridge retreats and then move NNW, and then finally N making landfall a PCB, FL as cat 2

[CalmBeforeStorm]

Satellite loops appears that it has turned more to the west-northwest. After it gets done with this ERC then this is going to tighten again fast. I expect cat4 landfall on Cuba.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
No loop I've watched even hints at a WNW course.

And recon data backs NW course. WNW will not happen (IMO) it will continue course as ridge retreats and then move NNW, and then finally N making landfall a PCB, FL as cat 2

Between satellite with a clear eye, recon fixes, and three hour NHC position updates, why would anyone think WMW at present? Yeah, maybe in the future.

[loon]

Satellite loops appears that it has turned more to the west-northwest. After it gets done with this ERC then this is going to tighten again fast. I expect cat4 landfall on Cuba.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
No loop I've watched even hints at a WNW course.

And recon data backs NW course. WNW will not happen (IMO) it will continue course as ridge retreats and then move NNW, and then finally N making landfall a PCB, FL as cat 2

Between satellite with a clear eye, recon fixes, and three hour NHC position updates, why would anyone think WMW at present? Yeah, maybe in the future.

We just like to make you insane....it gives us happiness..

[dwg71]

We just like to make you insane....it gives us happiness..

I'm beginning to believe that....

[CalmBeforeStorm]

Satellite loops appears that it has turned more to the west-northwest. After it gets done with this ERC then this is going to tighten again fast. I expect cat4 landfall on Cuba.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
No loop I've watched even hints at a WNW course.

And recon data backs NW course. WNW will not happen (IMO) it will continue course as ridge retreats and then move NNW, and then finally N making landfall a PCB, FL as cat 2

Between satellite with a clear eye, recon fixes, and three hour NHC position updates, why would anyone think WMW at present? Yeah, maybe in the future.

We just like to make you insane....it gives us happiness..

I'm there already

[jkt21787]

I would rather have Alhurricane or a pro met come back and give his/her opinion on the current movement and new implications for the the future track rather than listening to this back and forth between the two sides (NW movement, FL hit; WNW movement, non-FL hit),

[x-y-no]

Eye is popping out again - still on a NW track.

Jan

[deltadog03]

how do you say the ridge is retreating...cuz tampa says it is...come on...and good point..the ULL is helping to the west as well...it has been NW most of the day, but, now WNW