Interesting...12z GFS Ensemble Mean

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jkt21787
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Interesting...12z GFS Ensemble Mean

#1 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:55 pm

Before any one asks, this IS today's 12z run...
Image

Individual members...(this shows its very much still a split)
Image
Last edited by jkt21787 on Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:56 pm

Be sure to note that these are the 12z GFS ensembles.
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#3 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:57 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:Be sure to note that these are the 12z GFS ensembles.

Yes, this is noted.
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#4 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:59 pm

I've done gave up on the models. The shift west, people panic. They shift east, people panic. I'm just watching WV and Visible.
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Yuck

#5 Postby bevgo » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:00 pm

that does not look good at all
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#6 Postby LAwxrgal » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:06 pm

I think the forecast models are having big problems with the strength and/or weakness of the ridge steering Dennis. Until they get that resolved, we have NO clue where this storm is going.

So it's best that ALL of us prepare for the worst and hope for the best. I know that sounds cliche, but it's true.
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#7 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:21 pm

bump...
Any other feedback here?
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TPACane04

#8 Postby TPACane04 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:38 pm

Memphis dude, every post I see of yours today is bashing any idea of dennis landing EAST of Mobile...to me, you are rooting for a NOLA hit.

will you promise to lay low the rest of the season if Dennis hits east of Mobile???

:lol:
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#9 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:41 pm

he is stating his opinion just like yall....come on..
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#10 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:41 pm

TPACane04 wrote:Memphis dude, every post I see of yours today is bashing any idea of dennis landing EAST of Mobile...to me, you are rooting for a NOLA hit.

will you promise to lay low the rest of the season if Dennis hits east of Mobile???

:lol:

lol, I am favoring a NOLA to Mobile hit but at this point (as I have stated) a Panhandle threat can not be ruled out at all. Its the Peninsula hit which I am in complete disagreement with.

I'm not "rooting" for any hit, just going with what I see. I'm not a pro so of course don't take my posts as official info, only as opinions.

If it hits the panhandle, I'm not laying low. If it does hit the peninsula, I promise to lay low for the season on this board.
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#11 Postby Lindaloo » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:43 pm

skysummit wrote:I've done gave up on the models. The shift west, people panic. They shift east, people panic. I'm just watching WV and Visible.


Your point? IMO, people are allowed to worry and should be.
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