Recon Reports Dennis

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senorpepr
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#301 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 6:10 am

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 13
Time: 1007Z
Latitude: 18.4°N
Longitude: 75.8°W
Location: 72 mi ENE of Kingston, Jamaica
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: ENE (70°) @ 40 mph
Temperature: 45°F
Dewpoint: 45°F
Weather: Unknown
700mb height: 10200 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#302 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 6:12 am

Inbound Ob #2: 16.0°N 073.5°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 41°F; Flt level wind: SSW (210°) @ 68 mph
Inbound Ob #3: 16.2°N 073.7°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Flt level wind: SSW (200°) @ 68 mph
Inbound Ob #4: 16.4°N 073.9°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Flt level wind: SSW (200°) @ 67 mph
Inbound Ob #5: 16.5°N 074.0°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: SSW (210°) @ 71 mph
Inbound Ob #6: 16.7°N 074.2°W; 700mb height: 10000 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: SW (230°) @ 67 mph
Inbound Ob #7: 17.0°N 074.3°W; 700mb height: 13000 feet; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Flt level wind: SW (230°) @ 90 mph
Max flight level wind (Inbound): 92 mph at 17.1°N 074.4°W
First inbound ob surface wind: NA

Outbound Ob #2: 17.5°N 074.9°W; 700mb height: 9900 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: NE (50°) @ 62 mph
Outbound Ob #3: 17.7°N 075.1°W; 700mb height: 10000 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: ENE (60°) @ 61 mph
Outbound Ob #4: 17.9°N 075.2°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 52 mph
Outbound Ob #5: 18.0°N 075.4°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 45 mph
Outbound Ob #6: 18.2°N 075.6°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: E (80°) @ 45 mph
Max flight level wind (Outbound): 82 mph at 17.3°N 074.6°W
Last outbound ob surface wind: NA
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 14
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#303 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 6:13 am

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 15
Time: 1044Z
Latitude: 16.2°N
Longitude: 76.0°W
Location: 131 mi SSE of Kingston, Jamaica
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In cloud
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: W (280°) @ 32 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 46°F
Weather: Rainshowers
700mb height: 10200 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#304 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 6:37 am

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 16
Time: 11:14:20Z
Latitude: 17.5°N
Longitude: 74.7°W
Location: 139 mi ESE of Kingston, Jamaica
Minimum height at 700 mb 2811 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: 58 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max surface wind: 15 mi SW (223°)
Maximum flight level wind: WNW (302°) @ 73 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 12 mi SW (226°)
Sea level pressure: 968 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 52°F at 10007 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 57°F at 9997 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 46°F
Eye character: OPEN SW
Eye shape: Circular
Eye diameter: 23 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at 700 mb
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 2 nm
MAX FL WIND 87 KT N QUAD 07:59:10 Z
Last edited by senorpepr on Thu Jul 07, 2005 6:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#305 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 6:38 am

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 19
Time: 1127Z
Latitude: 18.0°N
Longitude: 74.2°W
Location: 132 mi WSW of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: In cloud
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: SE (140°) @ 83 mph
Temperature: 48°F
Dewpoint: 46°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
700mb height: 10100 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#306 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 6:39 am

000
URNT12 KNHC 071130
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 07/11:14:20Z
B. 17 deg 29 min N
074 deg 44 min W
C. 700 mb 2811 m
D. 50 kt
E. 223 deg 013 nm
F. 302 deg 063 kt
G. 226 deg 010 nm
H. 968 mb
I. 11 C/ 3050 m
J. 14 C/ 3047 m
K. 8 C/ NA
L. OPEN SW
M. C20
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0304A DENNIS OB 16
MAX FL WIND 87 KT N QUAD 07:59:10 Z
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#307 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:19 am

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 20
Time: 1208Z
Latitude: 18.0°N
Longitude: 71.1°W
Location: 88 mi ESE of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 23000 feet
Flight level wind: S (180°) @ 45 mph
Temperature: 7°F
Dewpoint: -8°F
Weather: Rainshowers
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: LAST REPORT


This concludes mission III.
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#308 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 7:25 am

Here's a quick outlook of some of the upcoming flights...

Mission IV - Low-level AF fix flight
Take off: 7/12:30pm EDT
Time on target: 7/1:00pm EDT - 7/8:30pm EDT

Mission V - High-level NOAA synoptic flight (41-45kft)
Take off: 7/1:00pm EDT

Mission VI - High-level AF synoptic flight (24-30kft)
Take off: 7/1:00pm EDT
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#309 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:27 am

Mission IV begins...

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 04
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 01
Time: 1506Z
Latitude: 17.9°N
Longitude: 67.5°W
Location: 105 mi WSW of San Juan, Puerto Rico
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 22000 feet
Flight level wind: VRB @ 6 mph
Temperature: 7°F
Dewpoint: 7°F
Weather: Scattered Skies
D-value: 1400 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#310 Postby slowjoe » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:39 am

THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK. I DO NOT KNOW ANYTHING ABOUT METEOROLOGY.

I loaded the first and last frame in photoshop, placed a couple circle over both eyes (I know they're just dimples right now) and then played connect the dots.

<IMG SRC=http://mrmulligan.org/bblog/images/track.gif>
Last edited by slowjoe on Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#311 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:47 am

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 04
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 02
Time: 1533Z
Latitude: 17.9°N
Longitude: 69.8°W
Location: 38 mi SSW of Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 22000 feet
Flight level wind: SSE (160°) @ 29 mph
Temperature: 9°F
Dewpoint: 9°F
Weather: Scattered Skies
D-value: 1400 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#312 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:15 am

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 04
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 03
Time: 1600Z
Latitude: 17.9°N
Longitude: 72.1°W
Location: 49 mi SSE of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In cloud
Pressure Altitude: 22000 feet
Flight level wind: SSE (160°) @ 24 mph
Temperature: 10°F
Dewpoint: 10°F
Weather: Overcast Skies
D-value: 1300 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#313 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:18 am

Just a reminder, you can go to S2K's recon page for the latest raw observations at http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/recon.htm
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#314 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:29 am

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 04
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 04
Time: 1622Z
Latitude: 17.6°N
Longitude: 73.6°W
Location: 109 mi SW of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: In cloud
Pressure Altitude: 22000 feet
Flight level wind: SSW (200°) @ 43 mph
Temperature: 10°F
Dewpoint: 10°F
Weather: Rainshowers
D-value: 1300 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#315 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:12 pm

when should recon be in the center?
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#316 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:15 pm

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 04
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 05
Time: 1642Z
Latitude: 17.1°N
Longitude: 74.8°W
Location: 143 mi ESE of Kingston, Jamaica
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: SSW (210°) @ 47 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 45°F
Weather: Broken Skies
700mb height: 10300 feet
Surface Wind: S (190°) @ 52 mph
Remarks: INBD FROM SE
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#317 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:25 pm

ivanhater wrote:when should recon be in the center?


Probably by the 2pm advisory... at least for a fix and pressure measurement.
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#318 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:27 pm

They are getting pretty close to the center.
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#319 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:38 pm

Observation Number: 07
Time: 1730Z
Position: 18.4 North 76.0 West
Sea Level Pressure: 962 mb
Surface wind speed and direction: 8 knots //215
925 millibar height: 352 meters
925 millibar winds: 7 knots // 190
850 millibar height: 1095 m
850 millibar winds: 6 knots // 225
700 millibar height: 2765 meters
700 millbar winds: 59 knots // 225

added 700 millibar height/winds
Last edited by clfenwi on Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#320 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:39 pm

45 knot surface winds a good 120nm or more southeast of the center ...

That's not too shabby.

Jan
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