Not again!!

[dixiebreeze]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... trike.html

Floridians better start battening down. The above, coupled with the 11 a.m. advisory of trending east, is almost a repeat of the Charley scenario last year. No, not EXACTLY, but too close for comfort.

[tampastorm]

could not agree more. The worse part is every wobble, we will go from OH NO to sigh of relief,lol. Time will tell.

[melhow]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200504_strike.html

Floridians better start battening down. The above, coupled with the 11 a.m. advisory of trending east, is almost a repeat of the Charley scenario last year. No, not EXACTLY, but too close for comfort.

You said the naughty word...

[tracyswfla]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200504_strike.html

Floridians better start battening down. The above, coupled with the 11 a.m. advisory of trending east, is almost a repeat of the Charley scenario last year. No, not EXACTLY, but too close for comfort.

I am JUST sick... no one is paying attention.

[skysummit]

That map only states that Dennis can pass withing 75 miles of the coast. It's just based on the NHC track. It's not stating that Dennis will turn NE into Florida.

[melhow]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200504_strike.html

Floridians better start battening down. The above, coupled with the 11 a.m. advisory of trending east, is almost a repeat of the Charley scenario last year. No, not EXACTLY, but too close for comfort.

I am JUST sick... no one is paying attention.

No kidding. People here at work are talking about weekend plans like it's going to be a sunny couple of days. When I brougt up maybe getting thier hurricane kits together and checking out the weather every now and then, there were actually a few people who didn't know there was anything going on out there.

Duh.

[recmod]

I thought the naughty word was hunker-down




-Lou

[dhweather]

Everything is still based on models that have been shifting a bit
back and forth, Pensacola to Vermillion Bay. Bottom line is
that 72 hours out is subject to large errors.

We know that Dennis will enter the GOM, and most likely be a major cane.

EVERYONE from Louisiana east should be stocking up and preparing.
Texans should be keeping a very close eye on the tropics.

[drudd1]

That map only states that Dennis can pass withing 75 miles of the coast. It's just based on the NHC track. It's not stating that Dennis will turn NE into Florida.

True, but if Dennis decides to hug the coast going up, an eastward wobble could wreak havoc, putting those affected solidly in the NE quad.

You are right tracyswfla, very few at this point are paying any attention. While the threat may not materialize, there is a very real possibility it could. Let's hope everyone was good little boys and girls and got their supplies and plans taken care of early.

[caneman]

One thing to note to is that it isn't 72 hours out for the West coast of Florida. It is only 48 hours til off the coast. Getting hairy.

[rtd2]

Everything is still based on models that have been shifting a bit
back and forth, Pensacola to Vermillion Bay. Bottom line is
that 72 hours out is subject to large errors.

We know that Dennis will enter the GOM, and most likely be a major cane.

EVERYONE from Louisiana east should be stocking up and preparing.
Texans should be keeping a very close eye on the tropics.

Very Good info! Helps keep the Hype down! Hype only does Lowes and Home Depot GOOD!

[jrod]

2 days ago I posted on here the Tampa area really needed to watch out, yesterday i thought I may have jumped the gun to call that. Today the Tampa call seems reasonable.

Right now I think the storm paralleling the west coast of Fl and becoming a huge surge problem for the Appalachacoloa area is a realistic scenerio.

Many models are showing a WNW track after this NW jog so Florida still can be spared and the northern gulf can still get nailed.


***This is just this posters opinion on the sitiuation, for all tropical weather information visit the National Hurricane Center, http://www.nhc.noaa.gov, and listen to your local authorities. ***

[Canelaw99]

One thing to note to is that it isn't 72 hours out for the West coast of Florida. It is only 48 hours til off the coast. Getting hairy.

My thoughts exactly. By Sat. morning, the NHC has it west of Key West, which means it could be anywhere through the Keys or further west. Too close for my comfort too soon, that's for sure.

[patsmsg]

Everything is still based on models that have been shifting a bit
back and forth, Pensacola to Vermillion Bay. Bottom line is
that 72 hours out is subject to large errors.

We know that Dennis will enter the GOM, and most likely be a major cane.

EVERYONE from Louisiana east should be stocking up and preparing.
Texans should be keeping a very close eye on the tropics.

Your advice here is right on the money. People, take heed.

[Steve]

>>True, but if Dennis decides to hug the coast going up, an eastward wobble could wreak havoc, putting those affected solidly in the NE quad.

I asked this question yesterday but no one answered. Joe B. said that it was impossible for a major storm to hug the coast of Florida and run up it because of the interaction with land. Are there any historical storms to debunk that theory or the theory that nothing really stronger than a Cat 1 or maybe borderline Cat 2 could affect the Big Bend?

I don't know one way or the other which is why I'm asking.

Thanks.

Steve

[LilNoles2005]

Right now I think the storm paralleling the west coast of Fl and becoming a huge surge problem for the Appalachacoloa area is a realistic scenerio.

Dude, don't say that! lol.

[smashmode]

Could Tampa/St Pete be in trouble?

The flooding possability for that area is crazy :\

[weatherwindow]

actually only 42 hours to closest point of approach to key west. not much time at all, particularly if the ridge erodes further and the track veers further toward the north

[patsmsg]

Could Tampa/St Pete be in trouble?

The flooding possability for that area is crazy :\

It's still too early to say this cannot happen. The forecaster don't think this will be the case though. Tomorrow, we will have a better idea.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

yeah flooding here would be a nightmare. our worst case scenario is a storm riding up parallel to the coast and going in just north of Tampa. Pinellas county becomes 2 islands. I think the Tampa storm surge in the bay/downtown would end up like 22 ft. or something.