Recon Reports Dennis

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#261 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:27 pm

URNT11 KWBC 070312
97779 03124 50173 7361/ 40800 09046 05056 /8015
RMK NOAA3 WX04A DENNIS OB 21 KWBC

Observation Number: 21
Time: 0312Z
Location: 17.3 North // 73.6 West
Flight Level: 4080 meters
Flight Level winds: 46 knots // 090

Um, yeah ... slight mistake in lat/long... corrected
Last edited by clfenwi on Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
loon
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 655
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 4:50 pm
Location: Downtown Houston

#262 Postby loon » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:30 pm

HOLY CRAP 73N!! Where the heck is that?

:lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#263 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:31 pm

Observation Number: 22
Time: 0317Z
Position: 16.5 North 73.4 West
Sea Level Pressure: 986 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: N/A
925 millibar height: 562 meters
925 millibar winds: 82 knots // 105
850 millibar height: 1300 meters
850 millibar winds: 83 knots // 110
700 millibar height: 2960 meters
700 millibar winds: 78 knots // 125

Another eyewall dropsonde
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#264 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:16 pm

Storm DENNIS: Observed By NOAA #3
Storm #04 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 77KT (88.5mph 142.6km/h) In N Quadrant At 0320Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 69.3KT (79.7mph 128.3km/h) *
Misc Remarks: SLP FROM DROPSONDE EYE OPEN SW-NE
Date/Time of Recon Report: Wednesday, July 06, 2005 23:24:00 (Thu, 07 Jul 2005 03:24:00 GMT)
Position of the center: 16° 24' N 73° 38' W (16.4°N 73.6°W)

Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
No Bearing From Center To Estimated Surface Winds Was Measured
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 77KT (88.55mph 142.6km/h) From 173°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 12nm (13.8 miles) From Center At Bearing 355°
Minimum pressure: 975mb (28.79in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: OPEN NW
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Elliptical , E10 30 20
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind
Center Fix Established At Level(s):
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 1nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds

OB 25
Last edited by clfenwi on Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#265 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:17 pm

URNT11 KWBC 070349
97779 03494 50161 7550/ 60900 02040 5759/ /8032
RMK NOAA3 WX04A DENNIS OB 24 KWBC

Time: 0349Z
Observation Number: 24
Position 16.1 North 75.5 West
Flight level: 6090 meters
Flight level winds: 40 knots // 020
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#266 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:20 pm

clfenwi wrote:Storm DENNIS: Observed By NOAA #3
Storm #04 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 77KT (88.5mph 142.6km/h) In N Quadrant At 0320Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 69.3KT (79.7mph 128.3km/h) *
Misc Remarks: SLP FROM DROPSONDE EYE OPEN SW-NE
Date/Time of Recon Report: Wednesday, July 06, 2005 23:24:00 (Thu, 07 Jul 2005 03:24:00 GMT)
Position of the center: 16° 24' N 73° 38' W (16.4°N 73.6°W)

Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
No Bearing From Center To Estimated Surface Winds Was Measured
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 77KT (88.55mph 142.6km/h) From 173°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 12nm (13.8 miles) From Center At Bearing 355°
Minimum pressure: 975mb (28.79in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: OPEN NW
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Elliptical , E10 30 20
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind
Center Fix Established At Level(s):
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 1nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds



The king has entered the building...975 millibars. :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#267 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:22 pm

Is 16.4°N 73.6°W, the actual center now?
0 likes   
Top
JTD
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1558
Joined: Sun Nov 02, 2003 6:35 pm

#268 Postby JTD » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:24 pm

5 mb drop in 2 hours :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

This is incredible.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#269 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:26 pm

Since 2am est/11pm pst the system has droped from 1000.0 millibars to what it is now 975 millibars that is a drop of 25 millibars. The officals put RI development/Bombing at 21 millibars for 24 hours. Our friend Dennis has as of now been bombing out/RI.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/pu ... .005.shtml?


Also at the 5am est update the pressure was 997 millibars. Which would mean a 22 millibar drop. Which it has done this fast.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#270 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:37 pm

Observation Number: 23
Time: 0337
Position: 17.0 North 72.9 West
Sea Level Pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind speed and direction: 53 knots // 115
1000 millibar height: 28 meters
1000 millibar winds: 55 knots // 115
925 millibar height: 711 meters
925 millibar winds: 63 knots // 130
850 millibar height: 1442 meters
850 millibar winds: 58 knots // 135
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#271 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:45 pm

Observation Number: 26
Time: 0425Z
Location: 14.5 North 78.3 West
Flight Level: 6110 meters
Flight level winds 5 knots //110
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#272 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:49 pm

Observation Number: 28
Time: 0435Z
Position: 17.2 North 72.7 West
Sea Level Pressure: 1008 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 39 knots // 115
1000 millibar height: 68 meters
1000 millibar winds: 42 knots // 115
925 millibar height: 752 meters
925 millibar winds: 56 knots // 125
850 millibar height: 1482 meters
850 millibar winds: 52 knots // 135
700 millibar height: 3119 meters
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#273 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:54 pm

Observation Number 27
Time: 0433Z
Position: 16.4 North // 73.6 West
Sea Level Pressure: 975 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: n/a
925 millibar height: 467 meters
925 millibar winds: n/a
850 millibar height: 1207 meters
850 millibar winds: n/a
700 millibar height: 2875 meters
700 millibar winds: 2 knots // 275

Eye dropsonde
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#274 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:18 am

Observation Number: 29
Time: 0457Z
Position: 16.4 North 73.8 West
Sea Level Pressure: 985 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: n/a
925 millibar height: 555 meters
925 millibar winds: n/a
850 millibar height: 1293 meters
850 millibar winds: 53 knots // 325
700 millibar height: 2950 meters
700 millibar winds: 56 knots 330
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#275 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:23 am

Observation Number: 30
Time: 0506Z
Position: 16.3 North 74.7 West
Sea Level Pressure: 1005 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 28 knots // 335
1000 millibar height: 40 meters
1000 millibar winds: 32 knots // 330
925 millibar height: 726 meters
925 millibar winds: 39 knots // 355
850 millibar height: 1455 meters
850 millibar winds: 39 knots 360
700 millibar height: 2996 meters
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#276 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:29 am

000
URNT11 KWBC 070513
97779 05134 50119 8160/ 61100 07011 5868/ /8033
RMK NOAA3 WX04A DENNIS OB 31 KWBC
LAST REPORT

Observation Number: 31
Time: 0513Z
Location: 11.9 North 81.6 West
Flight Level: 6110 meters
flight level winds: 11 knots // 070

The NHC POD indicated that an Air-Force plane would be on station now, having taken off at 0315Z... I haven't seen anything from it, so it's wait and see, I suppose...
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#277 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:31 am

Thx for posting these updates...I've learned quite a bit tonight...
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#278 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 12:44 am

Flight: NOAA3
Observation Number: 32
Time: 0521
Position: 16.4 North / 74.9 West
Sea Level Pressure: 1006 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 29 knots // 345
1000 millibar height: 55 meters
1000 millibar winds: 30 knots // 340
925 millibar height: 741 meters
925 millibar winds: 36 knots // 350
850 millibar height: 1473 meters
850 millibar winds: 31 knots // 345
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#279 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:06 am

Flight: NOAA3
Observation Number: 33
Time: 0547Z
Position: 16.3 North // 73.5 West
Sea Level Pressure: 982 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 54 knots // 245
925 millibar height: 530 meters
925 millibar winds: 48 knots // 250
850 millibar height: 1267 meters
850 millibar winds: 48 knots // 260
700 millibar height: 2926 meters
700 millibar winds: 38 knots // 280
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#280 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:10 am

Flight: NOAA3
Observation number: 34
Location: 15.5 North 74.2 West
Sea Level Pressure: 1007 millibars
Surface winds: 22 knots // 275
1000 millibar height: 60 meters
1000 millibar winds 22 knots // 275
925 millibar height: 743 meters
925 millibar winds: 35 knots // 295
850 millibar height: 1474 meters
850 millibar winds: 30 knots // 295
700 millibar height: 3111 meters
700 millibar winds: 28 knots // 315

Remarks indicate that this is the last dropsonde report for this mission...
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: KirbyDude25, Team Ghost and 580 guests