*DING* NCEP PLEASED TO ANNOUNCE 00Z GFS RUNNING

#1 Postby **dhweather** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:54 pm

RIGHT NOW!

#2 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:59 pm

#3 Postby **dhweather** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:02 pm

The Global Forecast System (GFS) model is currently running at the
National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The NHC
uses GFS for its guidance for tropical system with regularity.

CajunMama · #4 Postby **CajunMama** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:06 pm

dhweather...could you please link this please? Not everyone may know what you're talking about! thanks!!!

#5 Postby **dhweather** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:07 pm

Pardon!

I should have done that!!!

Here is a link to the status of the model runs at NCEP:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... tml#TARGET

AL Chili Pepper · #6 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:54 pm

0Z GFS looks like it's going to be interesting. 48 hours are up....and I'm not saying anything else yet.

clfenwi · #7 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:56 pm

Through 60 hours... looks like a little bit of a shift to the right from 12Z and 18Z runs...

AL Chili Pepper · #8 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:56 pm

60...you be the judge.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_060l.gif

reeef · #9 Postby **reeef** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:56 pm

inform me what does this mean?

AL Chili Pepper · #10 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:56 pm

clfenwi wrote:Through 60 hours... looks like a little bit of a shift to the right from 12Z and 18Z runs...

That's what it looks like.

mobilebay · #11 Postby **mobilebay** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:01 pm

A little further north and east through 72.

#12 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:02 pm

mobilebay wrote:A little further north and east through 72.

GREAT NEWS for N.O. but BAD news for Florida.

clfenwi · #13 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:03 pm

mobilebay wrote:A little further north and east through 72.

Yep, a much less subtle difference than what I noted at 60 hours...

#14 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:06 pm

Starts to get caught in the wake/trough left by Cindy, but as ridge builds in it begins moving WNW towards LA again:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_084m.gif

mobilebay · #15 Postby **mobilebay** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:07 pm

Boy the NHC is good. They said on the 5PM discussion it would probably shift back East and it did. Right where their forcast track goes. :eek:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_090l.gif

clfenwi · #16 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:07 pm

AL Chili Pepper · #17 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:08 pm

mobilebay wrote:Boy the NHC is good. They said on the 5PM discussion it would probably shift back East and it did. Right where their forcast track goes.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_090l.gif

I was about to say it looks like it's riding the NHC projection.

mobilebay · #18 Postby **mobilebay** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:10 pm

It is also in perfect agreement with the NOGAPS, GFDL, And pretty close to the NHC models.

#19 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:16 pm

Very close to the NHC forecast. Wow! Well being in SE LA that makes me queasy!

Droop12 · #20 Postby **Droop12** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:27 pm

Looks like that run wants to chew up my neighborhood and spit it out. :lol:

Seriously though, its not looking good, luckily my roof just got repaired.

DING NCEP PLEASED TO ANNOUNCE 00Z GFS RUNNING

DING NCEP PLEASED TO ANNOUNCE 00Z GFS RUNNING

Who is online