Dennis Advisorys

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:02 pm

Ok this new thread will be used for advisorys for hurricane Dennis starting with the 8 PM EDT advisory.I do this to not have many threads for advisorys posted.

#2 Postby **Lowpressure** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:03 pm

Thank you, it is starting to get out of hand with all the multiple posts of the same data.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #3 Postby **senorpepr** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:04 pm

THANK YOU!!!

This is much welcomed as compared to the numorous threads all saying the same thing.

Way to go, mods. You'll need a break after this...

#4 Postby **sweetpea** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:05 pm

Thank you, it was really starting to get confusing. :lol:

Debbie

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:05 pm

senorpepr wrote:THANK YOU!!!

This is much welcomed as compared to the numorous threads all saying the same thing.

Way to go, mods. You'll need a break after this...

Yes I do need a break but this is only starting. :roll:

EarthStormFire · #6 Postby **EarthStormFire** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:05 pm

Is it a cane yet?

If so then

Website · #7 Postby **Brent** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:05 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:Is it a cane yet?

If so then

Yes... recon just confirmed.

HurryKane · #8 Postby **HurryKane** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:05 pm

Would it be possible to sticky the Dennis advisories thread and the Dennis model trends thread? Sometimes they get pushed down the page and that's why many may think they need to start a new thread--or they cannot find the old one.

Maybe the "official Dennis landfall prediction" thread needs to be stickied too, but that's certainly up to y'all mods

#9 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:10 pm

Forecast advisorys,Public Advisorys,Discussions and forecast track grafics will be posted in this thread.As the advisorys come I will be editing the title to shows the latest update as I haved done with other threads.

#10 Postby **Lowpressure** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:11 pm

Great job mods, and thanks for listening to the posters on the board. You guys (gals) are great!

#11 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:12 pm

Done to sticky the thread.

HurryKane · #12 Postby **HurryKane** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:14 pm

cycloneye wrote:Done to sticky the thread.

Thanks cycloneye!

#13 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:15 pm

Another thing is as the thread grows in pages you only have to click the last page (For Example in page 13 there is the latest advisory) so you dont have to look from page 1 you do directly to page 13.

iceangel · #14 Postby **iceangel** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:23 pm

000
WTNT44 KNHC 062208
TCDAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2005

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS MAINLY TO UPGRADE DENNIS TO A HURRICANE
BASED ON A 79-KT 700 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND THAT WAS MEASURED IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT AT 2127Z ON THE OUTBOUND LEG AFTER PASSING
THROUGH THE EYE AND MEASURING A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 985 MB. WIND
RADII FOR 64-KT WERE INCLUDED AND THE 50-KT RADII WERE INCREASED
SLIGHTLY IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE BASED ON THE NEW RECON WIND
DATA.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 295/12. THERE ARE NO CHANGES TO
PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST OR REASONING.

NO CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST. HOWEVER...
RECON AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE DENNIS HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER
ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES
INTO THIS EVENING...THEN THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT RAPID
INTENSIFICATION COULD OCCUR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...AND
DENNIS COULD REACH CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE IT PASSES
CLOSE TO JAMAICA IN 24 HOURS.

FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/2200Z 16.1N 72.5W 70 KT
12HR VT 07/0600Z 17.0N 74.3W 70 KT
24HR VT 07/1800Z 18.4N 76.7W 80 KT
36HR VT 08/0600Z 20.0N 79.1W 95 KT
48HR VT 08/1800Z 21.4N 81.4W 100 KT
72HR VT 09/1800Z 24.0N 84.5W 100 KT
96HR VT 10/1800Z 27.5N 86.5W 100 KT
120HR VT 11/1800Z 31.0N 88.0W 65 KT...INLAND

$$

#15 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:58 pm

Ok in less than an hour the 8 PM EDT advisory will be posted so stay tuned to see if Hurricane Dennis has intensified over the 80 mph he has at the 6 PM special advisory.

Thunder44 · #16 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:34 pm

Pressure down to 984mb

URNT12 KNHC 062323
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 06/23:05:10Z
B. 16 deg 12 min N
072 deg 43 min W
C. 700 mb 2955 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 046 deg 063 kt
G. 320 deg 013 nm
H. 984 mb
I. 10 C/ 3050 m
J. 12 C/ 3050 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0104A DENNIS OB 20
MAX FL WIND 79 KT NE QUAD 21:27:30 Z
SPIRAL BAND IN LOW CLOUD PATTERN APPROX 5 NM NORTH OF FLT LVL FIX

#17 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:36 pm

Information about recon reports are posted at the recon thread.

gkrangers · #18 Postby **gkrangers** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:47 pm

cycloneye wrote:Information about recon reports are posted at the recon thread.

Honestly, it might be a good idea to lock this thread and just let the mods post the advisories and discussions. Thats the only real way to keep it clean.

#19 Postby **Lowpressure** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:48 pm

gkrangers wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Information about recon reports are posted at the recon thread.
Honestly, it might be a good idea to lock this thread and just let the mods post the advisories and discussions. Thats the only real way to keep it clean.

Disagree, that is what the professional met page is for.

mf_dolphin · #20 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:50 pm

A minor glitch once in a while is pretty harmless;-) We haven't started taking the first born yet for a mistake :-)

Dennis Advisorys

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