Texas\La? Dennis

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
raynpa
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 105
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 7:52 am

Texas\La? Dennis

#1 Postby raynpa » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:55 am

If this storm passes well south of Jamaica, I feel that a much further westward landfall will be a real possibility.
0 likes   
Top
rainstorm

#2 Postby rainstorm » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:40 pm

strong high over bahamas should keep it south of jamaica

tx/la is a good bet

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=144hr
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#3 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:42 pm

rainstorm wrote:strong high over bahamas should keep it south of jamaica

tx/la is a good bet

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=144hr


rainstorm I can say that you have been consitent with your prediction.
0 likes   
Top
freeport_texas22
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 42
Joined: Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:24 pm

#4 Postby freeport_texas22 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:44 pm

Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#5 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:46 pm

freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)
0 likes   
Top
Johnny
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1428
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:35 pm
Location: No Snow For You, Texas

#6 Postby Johnny » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:55 pm

This is one scenario amongst many others out there.
0 likes   
Top
rainstorm

#7 Postby rainstorm » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:55 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)


umm, i dint have cindy coming in anywhere. made no prediction. strong ridge over bahamas, and i am confident it goes south of jamaica, which puts the upper texas coast in jeopardy
0 likes   
Top
freeport_texas22
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 42
Joined: Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:24 pm

#8 Postby freeport_texas22 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:56 pm

Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#9 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:57 pm

freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:

Don't take any prediction as a forecast at this point. I say its going into the Central LA Coast, but don't take that as truth either.

Watch this system very closely, but don't panic yet.
0 likes   
Top
GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#10 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:00 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)


No, it was Dennis that she said would be a Cat 3, hitting somewhere from NO to Galveston.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66162
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#11 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:04 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)


No, it was Dennis that she said would be a Cat 3, hitting somewhere from NO to Galveston.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66162



Said it in chat, about Cindy GDuck....After Derek posted his track and commenting about Galveston...

Not trying to be a bad guy...I can look at all the opinions. Others from our area may be spooked for no reason...;)
0 likes   
Top
rtd2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1183
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:45 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#12 Postby rtd2 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:08 pm

I remember I said IVAN would go south Of Jamaica Last year and it DID! But I missed My NOLA L/F prediction...Point is Just because It goes South of Jamaica doest ADD any Chance to Anyone! the system is Slightly South of NHC's forecast...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#13 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:10 pm

Yes but its farther south than their original forecast from a day ago.
0 likes   
Top
GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#14 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:11 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
GalvestonDuck wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)


No, it was Dennis that she said would be a Cat 3, hitting somewhere from NO to Galveston.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66162



Said it in chat, about Cindy GDuck....After Derek posted his track and commenting about Galveston...

Not trying to be a bad guy...I can look at all the opinions. Others from our area may be spooked for no reason...;)


Ah...ok. It's all cool. :)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#15 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:31 pm

i agree dennis is not going north of jamica...hmmm...NHC....come on and wake up down there in miami...i will be shocked if they don't move there track west at 5pm...
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#16 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:35 pm

Actually if you go to the floater and check the trplc fcst plots, it seems dead on their track...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#17 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:37 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Actually if you go to the floater and check the trplc fcst plots, it seems dead on their track...


If u looked at there track yesterday (when everyone was arguing between a W and NW movement), it had Dennis close to Hispanola. Its not so close to hispanola now...
0 likes   
Top
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#18 Postby dwg71 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:37 pm

I agree, people will see what they want. NHC has not adjusted their path in regards to Jamaica much in 3 days, they had it bisecting Jam and Haiti, and now just brushing coast of Jamaica...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#19 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:37 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Actually if you go to the floater and check the trplc fcst plots, it seems dead on their track...


that can't be right...they have it going north of jamica...unless he hangs a very sharp northerly turn thats not happening
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#20 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:39 pm

Also, watch the motion of the center....its fairly obvious that its not following a NW track like those little hurricane icons indicate it should be.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: chaser1 and 586 guests