12z EURO = further west

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ALhurricane
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12z EURO = further west

#1 Postby ALhurricane » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:21 pm

Let the west trend continue...

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 5070612!!/

Now has a central LA landfall. Matches up pretty close to the 12z GFS.
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#2 Postby loon » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:22 pm

sure looks pretty on there..kinda big
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#3 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:22 pm

:(
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#4 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:24 pm

Puts NOLA in the right front quadrant... :(

These forecast models are going to be like ping pong balls...they go back and forth.
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#5 Postby ericinmia » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:25 pm

Actually there is no difference really between the two. You have to backtrack the times properly to compare the two. It appears to be on the same track as the previous 00z in my humble opinion.
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#6 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:25 pm

Normandy wrote::(


Cheer up, It ain't coming to Houston. All it will do is pump some dry air over here and amplify the heat wave. Get ready for some 100-105 degree days.
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#7 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:26 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
Normandy wrote::(


Cheer up, It ain't coming to Houston. All it will do is pump some dry air over here and amplify the heat wave. Get ready for some 100-105 degree days.

Too early for that kind of attitude.
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#8 Postby Johnny » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:27 pm

I'd have to agree with the Euro as of right now..maybe just a tad bit more to the west.
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#9 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:28 pm

Too early for that kind of attitude


Lets just hope this west trend stops :x
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#10 Postby cajungal » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:28 pm

2 models have it going straight over Terrebonne Parish! I live in Terrebonne Parish. Worst case scenerio for New Orleans. David Bernard is staying until the threat passes. He seems very concerned. He said that we will like go under a warning by Saturday morning and evacuations will begin.
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#11 Postby ALhurricane » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:28 pm

The new run is a tad further west. The poor quality graphics played a little trick on my eye. Seems the 00z was along SE LA while this one is a little closer to central LA. Not that much difference in the grand scheme of things.

I do think the EURO is on the right track...
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#12 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:28 pm

i agree...really good spot..maybe a little further west...
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#13 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:30 pm

I'm with the GFS/EURO/UKMET solns as of right now, they look good for a LA area landfall which is my guess as of this point.

It still could trend further west though, even further east (though I continue to doubt this more and more)
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#14 Postby chris_fit » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:31 pm

Great news for FL! Bad for NO
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#15 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:32 pm

I'm really concerned about it coming right up into New Orleans now... :(
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#16 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:58 pm

Brent wrote:I'm really concerned about it coming right up into New Orleans now... :(


I just don't think it will.
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