Texas\La? Dennis

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raynpa
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Texas\La? Dennis

#1 Postby raynpa » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:55 am

If this storm passes well south of Jamaica, I feel that a much further westward landfall will be a real possibility.
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#2 Postby rainstorm » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:40 pm

strong high over bahamas should keep it south of jamaica

tx/la is a good bet

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=144hr
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HouTXmetro
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#3 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:42 pm

rainstorm wrote:strong high over bahamas should keep it south of jamaica

tx/la is a good bet

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=144hr


rainstorm I can say that you have been consitent with your prediction.
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freeport_texas22
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#4 Postby freeport_texas22 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:44 pm

Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:
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#5 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:46 pm

freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)
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Johnny
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#6 Postby Johnny » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:55 pm

This is one scenario amongst many others out there.
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#7 Postby rainstorm » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:55 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)


umm, i dint have cindy coming in anywhere. made no prediction. strong ridge over bahamas, and i am confident it goes south of jamaica, which puts the upper texas coast in jeopardy
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#8 Postby freeport_texas22 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:56 pm

Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:
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#9 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:57 pm

freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:

Don't take any prediction as a forecast at this point. I say its going into the Central LA Coast, but don't take that as truth either.

Watch this system very closely, but don't panic yet.
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#10 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:00 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)


No, it was Dennis that she said would be a Cat 3, hitting somewhere from NO to Galveston.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66162
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#11 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:04 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)


No, it was Dennis that she said would be a Cat 3, hitting somewhere from NO to Galveston.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66162



Said it in chat, about Cindy GDuck....After Derek posted his track and commenting about Galveston...

Not trying to be a bad guy...I can look at all the opinions. Others from our area may be spooked for no reason...;)
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#12 Postby rtd2 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:08 pm

I remember I said IVAN would go south Of Jamaica Last year and it DID! But I missed My NOLA L/F prediction...Point is Just because It goes South of Jamaica doest ADD any Chance to Anyone! the system is Slightly South of NHC's forecast...
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Normandy
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#13 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:10 pm

Yes but its farther south than their original forecast from a day ago.
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GalvestonDuck
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#14 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:11 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
GalvestonDuck wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
freeport_texas22 wrote:Thats not something I really wanna hear :eek:


It's only one model freeport...

This person also had Cindy coming into galveston as a cat3...

Still plenty of time to watch Dennis...;)


No, it was Dennis that she said would be a Cat 3, hitting somewhere from NO to Galveston.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66162



Said it in chat, about Cindy GDuck....After Derek posted his track and commenting about Galveston...

Not trying to be a bad guy...I can look at all the opinions. Others from our area may be spooked for no reason...;)


Ah...ok. It's all cool. :)
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#15 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:31 pm

i agree dennis is not going north of jamica...hmmm...NHC....come on and wake up down there in miami...i will be shocked if they don't move there track west at 5pm...
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#16 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:35 pm

Actually if you go to the floater and check the trplc fcst plots, it seems dead on their track...
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Normandy
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#17 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:37 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Actually if you go to the floater and check the trplc fcst plots, it seems dead on their track...


If u looked at there track yesterday (when everyone was arguing between a W and NW movement), it had Dennis close to Hispanola. Its not so close to hispanola now...
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#18 Postby dwg71 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:37 pm

I agree, people will see what they want. NHC has not adjusted their path in regards to Jamaica much in 3 days, they had it bisecting Jam and Haiti, and now just brushing coast of Jamaica...
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#19 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:37 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Actually if you go to the floater and check the trplc fcst plots, it seems dead on their track...


that can't be right...they have it going north of jamica...unless he hangs a very sharp northerly turn thats not happening
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#20 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:39 pm

Also, watch the motion of the center....its fairly obvious that its not following a NW track like those little hurricane icons indicate it should be.
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