I'll bet a more N component in the near future!!

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Blown Away
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I'll bet a more N component in the near future!!

#1 Postby Blown Away » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:52 pm

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html
I know I'm not going to describe this well, but here we go!
The high clouds are now fanning out to the N, N of Haiti/ Hispaniola, specifically (@70/21). The past 30 hours or so these clouds were blocked and the top of the storm looked flat to the N. Is the ridge weakening a little allowing the storm to breath to the N.
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#2 Postby tw861 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:53 pm

I'll bet...not
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#3 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:54 pm

Don't think so.

Or else we might have to give the CMC some credibility!
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#4 Postby feederband » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:55 pm

tw861 wrote:I'll bet...not


I'll call....Why you bet not..?
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#5 Postby skysummit » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:56 pm

I bet it goes north too! ......at least at some point :D
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#6 Postby ericinmia » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:56 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Don't think so.

Or else we might have to give the CMC some credibility!


Check the GFDL... it calls for it to move sharp NW at this same point as the CMC.
-Eric
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#7 Postby wxcrazytwo » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:56 pm

feederband wrote:
tw861 wrote:I'll bet...not


I'll call....Why you bet not..?


Feeder, because it is hard to think outside the box. The CMC might be on to something.
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#8 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:56 pm

tw861 wrote:I'll bet...not


Well his thinking is in line with the NHC and the models so I don't think it's too far fetched. And I notices the wake of Cindy has showers extending all the way to Mexico. Is that a trough? If so it should start turning Dennis soon.

Just my thoughts
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#9 Postby feederband » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:58 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
tw861 wrote:I'll bet...not


Well his thinking is in line with the NHC and the models so I don't think it's too far fetched. And I notices the wake of Cindy has showers extending all the way to Mexico. Is that a trough? If so it should start turning Dennis soon.

Just my thoughts


Real soon if not started already...
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#10 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:58 pm

wxcrazytwo wrote:
Feeder, because it is hard to think outside the box. The CMC might be on to something.


I touched on this in another thread. The CMC has been consistently going with the storm closer to FL than all the others. Is it known to be off for this long, or IS it on to something? All of the models seem to have a bend, they just seem to be occurring at different times and at different points.
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#11 Postby ericinmia » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:00 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:
wxcrazytwo wrote:
Feeder, because it is hard to think outside the box. The CMC might be on to something.


I touched on this in another thread. The CMC has been consistently going with the storm closer to FL than all the others. Is it known to be off for this long, or IS it on to something? All of the models seem to have a bend, they just seem to be occurring at different times and at different points.


You live in Homestead? Your just trying to make it come to you.

lol, just kidding... got it out of the way so others wouldn't say it. :lol:
-Eric
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#12 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:01 pm

ericinmia wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Don't think so.

Or else we might have to give the CMC some credibility!


Check the GFDL... it calls for it to move sharp NW at this same point as the CMC.
-Eric

I'm not saying there's isn't going to be an additional slight northerly component, but I don't think its going to be huge.

As far as the CMC, my main point is that I don't believe its SW FL/Keys hit, although now I see the NOGAPS is agreeing with it.

I still maintain a mainly LA threat, but everyone on the Gulf Coast should be watching it. This could be anyone's storm.
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#13 Postby wx247 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:02 pm

jk... you are right on. :) And this is coming from the biased ground of SW Missouri here. :roll: :lol:
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#14 Postby ericinmia » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:03 pm

Yeah, i'm not even getting into where it will landfall.

I'm just saying most models have it going much more northly soon, then some have it turning back wnw while a couple have it still maintaning that northerly track.
-Eric
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#15 Postby tw861 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:03 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
tw861 wrote:I'll bet...not


Well his thinking is in line with the NHC and the models so I don't think it's too far fetched. And I notices the wake of Cindy has showers extending all the way to Mexico. Is that a trough? If so it should start turning Dennis soon.

Just my thoughts


Everyone has their own opinion. The GFDL, CMC etc had it moving NW since 12z this morning. It 6 hours later and it's not moving NW. Furthermore the latest GFS and UK has trended further west.

Everybody has their own opinions, time will tell.
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#16 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:05 pm

ericinmia wrote:You live in Homestead? Your just trying to make it come to you.

lol, just kidding... got it out of the way so others wouldn't say it. :lol:
-Eric


Cute eric! LOL - my dad's name is Dennis, and I assure you, he's the only one with that name I'd welcome at my door! :lol:
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#17 Postby rtd2 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:10 pm

tw861 wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
tw861 wrote:I'll bet...not


Well his thinking is in line with the NHC and the models so I don't think it's too far fetched. And I notices the wake of Cindy has showers extending all the way to Mexico. Is that a trough? If so it should start turning Dennis soon.

Just my thoughts


Everyone has their own opinion. The GFDL, CMC etc had it moving NW since 12z this morning. It 6 hours later and it's not moving NW. Furthermore the latest GFS and UK has trended further west.

Everybody has their own opinions, time will tell.


Agreed! ... Nice Argument Stopper! I wont even think about Models till it reaches GOMEX!
Last edited by rtd2 on Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#18 Postby ericinmia » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:10 pm

This appears wnw at the least to me.

2pm 15.7 north 72.0 west
11am 15.4 north 71.5 west

that is .3 by .5
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#19 Postby rtd2 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:13 pm

ericinmia wrote:This appears wnw at the least to me.

2pm 15.7 north 72.0 west
11am 15.4 north 71.5 west

that is .3 by .5



Good Point Still Slightly South of NHC's Forecast...I'm sure they will Adjust at next advisory
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#20 Postby BonesXL » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:20 pm

I have a question, with the current foreward speed slowing down, does that have any significance? Any reponse is welcome.
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