LLC has formed over E. Atlantic...TD likely next 24-36 hours

[Hyperstorm]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Anyone who thought we were going to be quiet after Dennis departs the picture.....hmmm.....We'll see.

A MONSTER low pressure system is about to exit Africa. It is located near 10N 10W which is still well inland over Africa, but it should reach the coast within the next 24 hours.

This low already has an IMPRESSIVE squall line ahead of it (indicative of strong rotation and energy). I can say that it is probably one of the strongest systems so far this year to come off the coast (the pre-Dennis wave was very strong as well, but the SAL conditions were not ideal).

The reasons I'm more alert to this particular wave than the precursors are:

1) Low pressure system near BASE (indicative of impressive lift)
2) UL winds are favorable
3) WARM SSTs

And what I think is the most important factor this time of year...

4) The SAL which has eased up during the past few days over this particular region.

Remember, that the pattern we're in resembles so much the month of August in the Atlantic Basin with an active ITCZ and favorable UL winds throughout the majority of the Eastern Atlantic.

It could fall apart or it could develop, but conditions should be ripe for this one to spin up SOONER or LATER...

[EDIT: TO CHANGE TITLE OF THREAD AND ADAPT IT TO WHAT IS HAPPENING CURRENTLY]

[EDIT: TO INCLUDE STORM2K DISCLAIMER]

[EDIT (2): TO CHANGE TITLE OF THREAD]

[patsmsg]

It definitely sounds like this bears watching closely. I can't believe all this activity, and it's barely July.

[HurricaneGirl]

Holy Crap! Look at that thing. It already has rotation and it's still over land.

[Hyperstorm]

It is still WAY too early, but it looks like if it develops, it will head WNW toward a trough in the Central Atlantic and with a little bit of *luck* it will be a storm for the fishes.

Those are the kinds of storms we'd like to see...

[Hyperstorm]

Just wanted to post the latest satellite image of the Eastern Atlantic:



The convection you see over water is NOT the wave axis, but rather the squall line ahead of it. Don't be surprised to see it fizzle out as it is expected. The low pressure center is just to the SE of that mass inland over Africa.

I'll just wait to see how the system's core does once it hits the waters of the Atlantic. I'll keep using this thread for any updates.

[Brent]

Emily???

The satellite image is completely white BTW. Did it snow on the Atlantic????

[cycloneye]

Yes important that you talked about the convection not being the main wave axis as it is a squall line because many people are atracted by the colors of the convection but the real deal is behind it.

[Roxy]

Fish! Fish! Fish!

Come one everyone, chant with me!

[wx247]

Fish! Fish! Fish!

Come one everyone, chant with me!

I am helping you! Fish! Fish! Fish!

(But do I have to wear the silly Tuna outfit?)

[AussieMark]

[GalvestonDuck]

Fish! Fish! Fish!

Come one everyone, chant with me!

I am helping you! Fish! Fish! Fish!

(But do I have to wear the silly Tuna outfit?)

Trade ya! I got stuck with the Nemo suit.

[cycloneye]

Convection although has waned a little for the most part has been persistant.It is clear in the pic that there is some kind of low maybe a mesocyclone one around 10n.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The convection is coming together at 10 north/22 west. It has good outflow. In the enviroment looks to be half way favable. So I expect slow development over the next few days.

[Hurricanehink]

Uh-oh. I was hoping if we would ignore it, it wouldn't develop. Let's hope that if this would develop, it would be a fish. The first 4 storms have already affected land...

[Radar]

Hoping this one is for the FISH... It is an amazing wave though

[Swimdude]

Uh-oh. I was hoping if we would ignore it, it wouldn't develop. Let's hope that if this would develop, it would be a fish. The first 4 storms have already affected land...

Or are about to.

[timeflow]

[Hurricanehink]

Nice image This should definetly be mentioned in the next TWO and indicate the possibility of development. In the picture, you can clearly see established outflow. A circulation is certainly possible in the coming days.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It all ready looks like a cyclone by that picture.

Lets hope that the cape verde season is like 1995s. In which is the way I'm thinking this hurricane season is laying out to be like. 2 source areas.

1# Caribbean,Gulf of Mexico.
2# Cape verdes

The Cape verdes will likely be alot of fish. With a possible Hurricane making it through later this season.

[sweetpea]

My husband is worried about the next storm that will be named Emily. That was his mom's name and she was hell on wheels. He said we will leave if that one comes anywhere near us.