Tropical Storm Dennis

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Steve H.
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#181 Postby Steve H. » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:46 pm

Interesting that its heading was 280 earlier today and 295 now. If this data is true, its a pretty significant shift toward the NW.
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#182 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:47 pm

The Aruba radar puts it moving due west.
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#183 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:47 pm

This is not a Texas storm even though many would like it to be :roll: .
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#184 Postby Normandy » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:47 pm

Due NW? What?
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#185 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:48 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Seems like another shift to the south and west?


No it was actually further North at 120 hours.

New Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

Last Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
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#186 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:48 pm

gkrangers wrote:The Aruba radar puts it moving due west.



You are probably looking at a old radar gk...
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Normandy
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#187 Postby Normandy » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:50 pm

Well, the date on this radar switches to July 6, which means its passed midnight over there....so fairly new (I would assume...perhaps im reading it wrong).

http://www.weather.an/sat_img/radar.asp#
Last edited by Normandy on Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#188 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:51 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Seems like another shift to the south and west?


No it was actually further North at 120 hours.

New Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

Last Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.


That would be a bit south now of the earlier advisory?
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#189 Postby tw861 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:52 pm

Scorpion wrote:This is not a Texas storm even though many would like it to be :roll: .


I don't know, I would like to have some rain but I really don't want the otehr stuff that goes along with a possibly major hurricane. But let me guess, it's going to Florida right ? :roll:
Last edited by tw861 on Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#190 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:52 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Seems like another shift to the south and west?


No it was actually further North at 120 hours.

New Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

Last Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.


That would be a bit south now of the earlier advisory?
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#191 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:52 pm

120 hour position is only 215 miles southeast of the Mouth of the Mississippi River and only 230 miles south-southeast of Pensacola Beach, Florida.
Last edited by Brent on Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#192 Postby lilbump3000 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:52 pm

Towards the end of the forecast it has been shifted slightly to the right of the 5p.m. advisory.
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gkrangers

#193 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:53 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:The Aruba radar puts it moving due west.



You are probably looking at a old radar gk...
I guess but its been moving west on that radar all day...where the NHC and models had a wnw to nw motion.
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#194 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:53 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Seems like another shift to the south and west?


No it was actually further North at 120 hours.

New Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

Last Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.


That would be a bit south now of the earlier advisory?


27.0 is farther north. :wink:
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#195 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:56 pm

Discussion shortly.
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#196 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:56 pm

Brent wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Seems like another shift to the south and west?


No it was actually further North at 120 hours.

New Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

Last Advisory at 120 hours

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.


That would be a bit south now of the earlier advisory?


27.0 is farther north. :wink:


LOL...Looking from South to North...;)
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#197 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:57 pm

Scorpion wrote:This is not a Texas storm even though many would like it to be :roll: .


Yeah...and some people want to pull it into the west coast of Florida...

:lol:
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#198 Postby Swimdude » Tue Jul 05, 2005 10:00 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
Scorpion wrote:This is not a Texas storm even though many would like it to be :roll: .


Yeah...and some people want to pull it into the west coast of Florida...

:lol:



Hate to agree, but it's true. Chance of this storm following that much of a Western path is slim to nothing. I believe the current path, which includes eastern Louisiana, is too far West.
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Rainband

#199 Postby Rainband » Tue Jul 05, 2005 10:00 pm

TSmith274 wrote:
LAwxrgal wrote:I know it's early, but I don't like the agreement on the forecast models, and I don't like the direction they're pointed in.

This sucks. I told you people 3 months ago. I build my camp in Buras, and here come the storms. I swear, I have the worst luck.
don't panic yet :wink: 5 day forecast tracks are subject to large errors :wink:
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#200 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 05, 2005 10:01 pm

*taps fingers on desk*

Where's the discussion?
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