this looks like a texas storm

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
MDsempra
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 4
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 10:19 pm
Contact:
Contact MDsempra

this looks like a texas storm

#1 Postby MDsempra » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:49 pm

from the looks of the latest models... and also historic statistics.. this storm looks like it has no other way of being anything but a texas storm.
0 likes   
Top
freeport_texas22
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 42
Joined: Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:24 pm

#2 Postby freeport_texas22 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:50 pm

shhh! dont say that TO loud! :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#3 Postby gatorcane » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:51 pm

No I don't think so. Read Donsutherland's post in the pro-met forum" Dennis Likely to Pose Significant U.S. Landfall Threat"
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurryKane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1941
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 8:08 pm
Location: Diamondhead, Mississippi

#4 Postby HurryKane » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:51 pm

It is WAY too early to call a landfall for Dennis.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gulfcoastdave
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 100
Joined: Mon Jun 13, 2005 1:33 pm
Location: Milton,Fl
Contact:
Contact gulfcoastdave

#5 Postby gulfcoastdave » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:51 pm

Dennis will turn and head more into the central gulf states..........
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

Re: this looks like a texas storm

#6 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:52 pm

MDsempra wrote:from the looks of the latest models... and also historic statistics.. this storm looks like it has no other way of being anything but a texas storm.


Umm, the last models I saw said Louisiana-NE Gulf coast. Are there some new ones out?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

#7 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:54 pm

There are even models hinting at a Florida gulf landfall.. too early to tell lets wait till we get some synoptic data in the models folks
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Top
MDsempra
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 4
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 10:19 pm
Contact:
Contact MDsempra

#8 Postby MDsempra » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:55 pm

its the BAM model man.. check out weatherunderground
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#9 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:56 pm

Don't feed the "troll" as they say....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

#10 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:59 pm

MDsempra wrote:its the BAM model man.. check out weatherunderground


which model are you reffering to for the texas strike?
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9492
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

#11 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:59 pm

boca_chris wrote:No I don't think so. Read Donsutherland's post in the pro-met forum" Dennis Likely to Pose Significant U.S. Landfall Threat"



Texas is in the US last time I looked....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#12 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:00 pm

Jevo wrote:
MDsempra wrote:its the BAM model man.. check out weatherunderground


which model are you reffering to for the texas strike?


GFS is really close to there...hey, they did good with cindy...as far as track
0 likes   
Top
jeff
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 831
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 6:14 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:
Contact jeff

#13 Postby jeff » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:01 pm

I will not say this is a TX storm, but the models continue to trend west with each run. It is concerning for coastal MS, LA, and TX.

The 00Z tropicals have shifted quite a bit to the west this evening.

I also consider my self a US citizen even though I live in TX. Yes we are part of the US the last time I checked.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:
Contact dhweather

#14 Postby dhweather » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:04 pm

jeff wrote:I will not say this is a TX storm, but the models continue to trend west with each run. It is concerning for coastal MS, LA, and TX.

The 00Z tropicals have shifted quite a bit to the west this evening.

I also consider my self a US citizen even though I live in TX. Yes we are part of the US the last time I checked.


Yeah, but you're still a Republic in yourself. :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ixolib
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2741
Age: 68
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 8:55 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#15 Postby Ixolib » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:07 pm

dhweather wrote:
jeff wrote:I will not say this is a TX storm, but the models continue to trend west with each run. It is concerning for coastal MS, LA, and TX.

The 00Z tropicals have shifted quite a bit to the west this evening.

I also consider my self a US citizen even though I live in TX. Yes we are part of the US the last time I checked.


Yeah, but you're still a Republic in yourself. :lol:


Ain't nutin' like Lone Star - beer that is...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

#16 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:07 pm

looks to me as nothing is pointing that direction right now

Image
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Top
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:
Contact dhweather

#17 Postby dhweather » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:09 pm

Jevo wrote:looks to me as nothing is pointing that direction right now

Image


I can not remember seeing the models clustered so well for so many consecutive runs. Downright scary in itself!
0 likes   
Top
rainstorm

#18 Postby rainstorm » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:13 pm

there is one thing wrong with all those models. they have dennis over or north of jamaica. if it south of there, it will be even futher west
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AL Chili Pepper
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 873
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 1:15 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

#19 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:15 pm

If it crosses Western Cuba like that, Central Gulf Coast. If it stays south, TX. If it goes north, FL.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
flashflood
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 187
Joined: Tue Nov 09, 2004 12:30 pm
Location: S. FL

#20 Postby flashflood » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:32 pm

rainstorm wrote:there is one thing wrong with all those models. they have dennis over or north of jamaica. if it south of there, it will be even futher west


Looks like it needs to make a move very soon, if it's going to actually go north of Jamaica. Otherwise it just may just be too far south to be turned northerly by a renegade sharp trough.

I am surprised how many Texans are on here. I lived in Houston before and about gave up on Tropical weather ever coming there.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, wwizard and 501 guests