Cindy appears to be moving more NNE to NE to me...........

[Dean4Storms]

Check it yourself and see what you think, go to long range radar out of NO, speed up the animation and rock it.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml

[TS Zack]

You can't go by radar images that much because the way the storms form and move in a counter-clockwise motion will play tricks on your eyes. If you look at it in different ways you can see it is also moving West too.

[Stormcenter]

You can't go by radar images that much because the way the storms form and move in a counter-clockwise motion will play tricks on your eyes. If you look at it in different ways you can see it is also moving West too.

It really doesn't make a difference now because she so close to the LA. coastline though I actually think she is moving primarily due north.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

[Dean4Storms]

You are right if you don't use triangulation from the center with a fixed Lon/Lat for reference. I've been doing this for nearly 30yrs. and I see a NNE to NE movement in the last couple of hours, which is what the forecasts by most all the models and the NHC call for. It appears to be occuring.

Looks like a landfall just west of Mobile.

[feederband]

You are right if you don't use triangulation from the center with a fixed Lon/Lat for reference. I've been doing this for nearly 30yrs. and I see a NNE to NE movement in the last couple of hours, which is what the forecasts by most all the models and the NHC call for. It appears to be occuring.

Looks like a landfall just west of Mobile.

Amen.....

[tampastorm]

I agree with the NE movement, And even though it is close to landfall. Every movement one way or another will count for someone.

[loon]

I agree on the NE movement, but on the last few frames of radar, it appears she is slowing or stalling? maybe I need more coffee, be easier to tell with more frames...anyone want to place bets on a last minute blowup? Are there any items that would PREVENT a blowup? or vice versa, anything to make a blowup happen where she is at?

[jrod]

Me too, i was just looking at the radar. A more easterly track will give it more time over water, and IMO a good chance to become a hurricane.

[loon]

I agree on the NE movement, but on the last few frames of radar, it appears she is slowing or stalling? maybe I need more coffee, be easier to tell with more frames...anyone want to place bets on a last minute blowup? Are there any items that would PREVENT a blowup? or vice versa, anything to make a blowup happen where she is at?

nevermind on the stalling thing, its just hard to read that long range with any kind of certainty, she needs to get into short range so we can actually see...hehe

[LAwxrgal]

Here's the thing.

She was forecast to do all of this. She was forecast to turn north, then northeast around the periphery of the high.

She was also forecast to strengthen right before landfall. The stronger she gets the further east she will go IMO.

She is a lopsided system, which means that whereever she makes landfall, most of the really nasty weather will be to the east of wherever she comes ashore.

[AL Chili Pepper]

You are right if you don't use triangulation from the center with a fixed Lon/Lat for reference. I've been doing this for nearly 30yrs. and I see a NNE to NE movement in the last couple of hours, which is what the forecasts by most all the models and the NHC call for. It appears to be occuring.

Looks like a landfall just west of Mobile.

I'd take radar over satellite...just wish they had longer loops on the NWS sites.

[TS Zack]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml

Its on the short-range loop now. Yall were focusing on the hole which was only a hole not the center. You can see the hole is filling and the storms are moving South to North. The center is embedded within the rain to the West of the hole.

[loon]

NOLA might get wet...