Cindy might just send Houston some rain?

#1 Postby **loon** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:31 pm

We'll, according to the 10am discussion, Cindy wasn't suppose to send us any rain (little to none), but some energy from the north might. Wellll, looking at current radar...I think we will see some of this later this evening...

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?num=10&scale=1&delay=15&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&showlabels=1&ID=HGX&lat=29.54159737&lon=-95.14053345&label=Webster%2C+TX&type=N0R&zoommode=pan&map.x=400&map.y=240&centerx=400&centery=240&prevzoom=zoom

On a side note, the Hou/Gal forecasters seem to have a real issue with rain
chances. I do understand its Houston and the weather changes every 15 minutes, but the only time they get close it seems is on their nowcasts.....

I'm sure the 3pm update will include a wording change for the weather coming in...

I just want rain....bring it sister!

cheers,
loon

#2 Postby **Roxy** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:32 pm

wow, them thar clouds is headin this way!

yeehaw!

#3 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:34 pm

Enjoy yall's showers!

dwg71 · #4 Postby **dwg71** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:34 pm

looking at water vapor image, i dont see too much getting past beaumont..

Johnny · #5 Postby **Johnny** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:41 pm

That would be very nice. The area I live in (Montgomery County) has missed every little shower or storm that has popped up over the last month. We've had a drizzle here in there but that is it. Bring on some rain!

#6 Postby **loon** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:42 pm

The storms popping up to the north are doing so in the dry areas of the WV, so I have no reason to believe they can't make it, I just don't know how much they'll have left if they do make it...

#7 Postby **Air Force Met** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:50 pm

Should continue westward until it starts getting dark...once you begin to loose the daytime heating they will die out. Just depends on how far west they get before that happens. IT's also moving into an area of sfc divergence...which should weaken them. Since this is a sfc feature, moving into dry air aloft won't be what kills it...it will be the sfc divergence and lack of heating.

GalvestonDuck · #8 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:52 pm

That's not rain...that's just spit from the sky.

We need a downburst!

#9 Postby **loon** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 1:56 pm

Air Force Met wrote:Should continue westward until it starts getting dark...once you begin to loose the daytime heating they will die out. Just depends on how far west they get before that happens. IT's also moving into an area of sfc divergence...which should weaken them. Since this is a sfc feature, moving into dry air aloft won't be what kills it...it will be the sfc divergence and lack of heating.

Good to know AFM, thanks for explaining.

dwg71 · #10 Postby **dwg71** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:28 pm

See line from east is just about gone....not today anyway.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... khgx.shtml

#11 Postby **loon** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:29 pm

Welp, guess you were right, can't wait to see you on the weather channel, you'll be great.

dwg71 · #12 Postby **dwg71** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:31 pm

Nice reply, I'm just pointing out that the high pressure ridge is preventing anything from entering the Houston Metroplex...

It has not rained in nearly 6 weeks at my house. There is no end in sight.

#13 Postby **loon** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:34 pm

I wasn't being an a**, I think you'd be good, I mean, dang, you called it, I had every belief that it would make it here, you did not. I guess that stuff from the north isn't going to make it either?

dwg71 · #14 Postby **dwg71** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:37 pm

no harm no foul. The stuff to the north seems to be stalled just south of Bryan, I dont see it..

Normandy · #15 Postby **Normandy** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:38 pm

Theres an outflow boundary heading west...maybe itll fire of some showers.

#16 Postby **Air Force Met** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:52 pm

dwg71 wrote:Nice reply, I'm just pointing out that the high pressure ridge is preventing anything from entering the Houston Metroplex...

It has not rained in nearly 6 weeks at my house. There is no end in sight.

It's not really a high pressure ridge though...it's divergence on the western end of the cyclonic circulation. The line is a sfc feature...which means it is only sustained by two things (in this situation)...heating and convergence. That's why squall lines never makes it far from the center on the western side of tropical cyclones. They move away from the center to the west...and move into the divergent area...which is usually on the west side in a northward moving system. Lines just don't do well when they are moving towards a col along the axis of contraction. They loose all upward velocity as the southern part of the atmosphere continues turning cyclonically...and the northern past begins to turn anticyclonically. The airmass then begins to descend. That is one reason FOR the dry air on the water vapor...descending air at the sfc because of the col and A.o.C.

dwg71 · #17 Postby **dwg71** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:53 pm

Yeah...what he said..

#18 Postby **Air Force Met** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 2:57 pm

Normandy wrote:Theres an outflow boundary heading west...maybe itll fire of some showers.

Only if it intersects with another boundary...again...sfc divergence will prevent it. It could interact with the sea breeze in some locations and that might touch something off...

southerngale · #19 Postby **southerngale** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 3:04 pm

dwg71 wrote:looking at water vapor image, i dont see too much getting past beaumont..

Or even to Beaumont. They're dying just before they get here. *sigh*

Cindy might just send Houston some rain?

Cindy might just send Houston some rain?

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