WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT TUE 05 JULY 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z JULY 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-039
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM DENNIS
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 06/1800,07/0000Z A. O7/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0104A DENNIS B. NOAA9 0204A DENNIS
C. 06/1515Z C. 06/1830Z
D. 16.6N 72.8W D. NA
E. 06/1700Z - 07/0030Z E. NA
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. 41,000-45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE
A. 07/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 0304A DENNIS
C. 07/0315Z
D. 18.1N 75.4W
E. 07/0500Z - 07/1230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES.
3. REMARKS: G-IV MISSION ON CINDY SCHEDULED OFF AT 05/1800Z
CANCELED BY NHC AT 05/1100Z.
The flight for Cindy this afternoon was cancelled.For Dennis tommorow afternoon first mission will go.
Recon missions for Dennis
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cycloneye
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Recon missions for Dennis
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Jul 05, 2005 12:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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LAwxrgal
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Seems like the NHC agrees with the majority of us here, they regard Dennis as the bigger threat.
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dixiebreeze
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cycloneye
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seahawkjd wrote:So is this recon for today or tommorow?
For Dennis tommorow afternoon at 2 PM EDT.
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>>Seems like the NHC agrees with the majority of us here, they regard Dennis as the bigger threat.
While that is obviously true, I think the bottom line with Cindy is that they have an excellent handle on what she is and what she's gonna do. One cautionary note is that the Vipir model (which surprsingly or not, had the Plaquemines+Mississippi hits with Cindy) did show some tightening during secondary landfall in coastal Mississippi. I'd keep that in mind if I was there. But we have buoys and other observation prospects with Cindy. NOAA needs to get recon into Dennis so they can start feeding in model data.
Steve
While that is obviously true, I think the bottom line with Cindy is that they have an excellent handle on what she is and what she's gonna do. One cautionary note is that the Vipir model (which surprsingly or not, had the Plaquemines+Mississippi hits with Cindy) did show some tightening during secondary landfall in coastal Mississippi. I'd keep that in mind if I was there. But we have buoys and other observation prospects with Cindy. NOAA needs to get recon into Dennis so they can start feeding in model data.
Steve
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LSU2001
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THat really bites,
here we have a real TS about to make landfall and they cancel the mission and schedule a mission for a storm that will not affect the CONUS for days.
THis IMO is a clear lapse in judgement. A mod to strong TS off the cost of US should be more important than a storm a week away.
Rant Over,
I'll get of my soapbox now,
TIm
here we have a real TS about to make landfall and they cancel the mission and schedule a mission for a storm that will not affect the CONUS for days.
THis IMO is a clear lapse in judgement. A mod to strong TS off the cost of US should be more important than a storm a week away.
Rant Over,
I'll get of my soapbox now,
TIm
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feederband
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cycloneye
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HURAKAN wrote:Is not fair, even that Dennis may become a major menace in the near future, for now Cindy is the one possed to make landfall in less than 24 hours.
They will rely on surface observations and sat estimates.
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LAwxrgal
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seahawkjd wrote:Ok so tommorow then. BTW, why are people upset that there's no recon for Cindy tommorow. It will be inland tommorow.
Cindy will be inland tonight.
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LSU2001
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tomorrow fine I guess the title is misleading some
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Cindy wont get much stronger, there not really much a recon flightr will tell us IMO. With her I fgure the worst case scenerio will be for it to reach cat 1 and still not be much of a problem.
Dennis has the potential to be a major hurricane and I think they are making the right call focusing their attention and $$$ on him.
Dennis has the potential to be a major hurricane and I think they are making the right call focusing their attention and $$$ on him.
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feederband
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jrod wrote:Cindy wont get much stronger, there not really much a recon flightr will tell us IMO. With her I fgure the worst case scenerio will be for it to reach cat 1 and still not be much of a problem.
Dennis has the potential to be a major hurricane and I think they are making the right call focusing their attention and $$$ on him.
Cat 1 is a problem if you are expecting a weak TS...
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