SE LA and MS your under the gun for landfall...

[Guest]

Visible shows more and more on the hour the center is forming a LLC north of the Yucatan and moving NNW...... stay tuned to this board and recon that will be reporting a little later. i think you will be surprised to find where this is going.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html[/img]

[skywarn]

I think you are correct. It looks like it is becoming more symmetrical.

[dhweather]

Fun fun fun. ok, maybe not fun.

[tw861]

Visible shows more and more on the hour the center is forming a LLC north of the Yucatan and moving NNW...... stay tuned to this board and recon that will be reporting a little later. i think you will be surprised to find where this is going.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html[/img]

I agree that a center may be forming north of the Yucatan, but I doubt movement is NNW right now.

[Frank P]

From what I can see on the vis loops it gives the appearance of the entire system moving in a generally nw motion, or about 300-310 degrees... I can't really discern the exact location of the center

Some of the concentrated storms in the NE quad do appear to be moving off to the NNW, but the system looks to be moving NW... at the moment... time will tell ..... starting to get a nice signature presentation and is becoming better organized with each passing sat pix....

[HollynLA]

Won't be the first, and definitely not the last. Could this thing reach hurricane status, or is it just esitmated to be a mild TS?

[ROCK]

Visible shows more and more on the hour the center is forming a LLC north of the Yucatan and moving NNW...... stay tuned to this board and recon that will be reporting a little later. i think you will be surprised to find where this is going.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html[/img]

LA AND MS?? so its going to move due N from its current position?? Maybe your seeing the clouds tops being blown off to the N NE. But the center or whats try to reorginizing is moving NW or WNW....

[tw861]

From what I can see on the vis loops it gives the appearance of the entire system moving in a generally nw motion, or about 300-310 degrees... I can't really discern the exact location of the center

Some of the concentrated storms in the NE quad do appear to be moving off to the NNW, but the system looks to be moving NW... at the moment... time will tell ..... starting to get a nice signature presentation and is becoming better organized with each passing sat pix....

Hey Frank, nice to see ya posting. I think you are right on with the movement, 300-310 looks just about right. I think this one goes in somewhere west of the mouth of the Mississippi, really depends on how far west it goes before it makes the turn.

[Stormcenter]

I say central LA. landfall. IMO

[sea oat]

I Agree. Looks like there is still too much dry air over Texas.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[southerngale]

I think I'll just wait until it makes landfall to figure this one out. NHC still shows TX/LA border, some of ya'll are saying Mississippi now and I just got through reading in the Tropical Analysis forum that some of the tropicals take it to NE Mexico or deep South Texas.

[Roxy]

I think I'll just wait until it makes landfall to figure this one out. NHC still shows TX/LA border, some of ya'll are saying Mississippi now and I just got through reading in the Tropical Analysis forum that some of the tropicals take it to NE Mexico or deep South Texas.

HAHA, I've been thinking the same thing Southerngale.

[Frank P]

Yo TW861

I'm not sure where its going but west of the MS river is solid at the moment...how far west we'll see.... It sure has that classic stacking problem... LLC probably going more WNW and the MLC going more NW ... convection in NE quad moving off to the NNW... quite a struggle right now internally with TD 3 but would not be surprised for it to get to TS this afternoon or late this evening... presentation looks good on the sat pixs....

fp

[T-man]

Yikes! I live on the bayou in Lafitte, La. A track this way coming from that vicinity (BOC) is usually bad news for us in low lying LA

[skysummit]

Hey T-Man. I'm in Houma. We may be filling sandbags in a couple days.

[george_r_1961]

Looks like we may be getting development out of this...and it may happen quickly. The greatest threat IMO is from High Islans TX east to the MS/AL border.

[skysummit]

I wonder what the chances of this thing bombing before landfall is. The water just under La. is 90 degrees.

[LAwxrgal]

Looks like we may be getting development out of this...and it may happen quickly. The greatest threat IMO is from High Islans TX east to the MS/AL border.

Which includes me unfortunately -- and my sister who has moved to Texas. Also unfortunately is that most people around here don't even know this exists.

[skysummit]

Looks like we may be getting development out of this...and it may happen quickly. The greatest threat IMO is from High Islans TX east to the MS/AL border.

Which includes me unfortunately -- and my sister who has moved to Texas. Also unfortunately is that most people around here don't even know this exists.

You are so correct. So many people out partying and not watching TV. People are going to be in for a surprise tomorrow.

[george_r_1961]

Keep in mind LAwxrgal that im not a met..but I did make an educated guess based on what im seeing.