12Z Models center: 20.0N 88.6W

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

12Z Models center: 20.0N 88.6W

#1 Postby drezee » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:06 am

099
WHXX01 KWBC 041232
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE (AL032005) ON 20050704 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050704 1200 050705 0000 050705 1200 050706 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.0N 88.6W 21.2N 90.6W 22.4N 92.4W 23.5N 94.1W
BAMM 20.0N 88.6W 21.4N 90.6W 22.6N 92.6W 23.9N 94.4W
A98E 20.0N 88.6W 21.4N 90.1W 23.0N 91.4W 24.9N 92.7W
LBAR 20.0N 88.6W 21.6N 90.4W 23.6N 92.0W 25.6N 93.3W
SHIP 30KTS 33KTS 38KTS 44KTS
DSHP 30KTS 33KTS 38KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050706 1200 050707 1200 050708 1200 050709 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 24.4N 95.7W 25.6N 98.3W 26.5N 99.5W 27.7N 99.7W
BAMM 24.7N 96.1W 25.8N 99.4W 26.3N 102.2W 26.4N 104.3W
A98E 26.7N 93.9W 30.6N 92.6W 32.3N 87.8W 33.2N 83.2W
LBAR 27.2N 93.8W 30.2N 92.4W 32.6N 87.0W 33.8N 78.8W
SHIP 48KTS 53KTS 51KTS 43KTS
DSHP 48KTS 53KTS 29KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.0N LONCUR = 88.6W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 18.6N LONM12 = 87.2W DIRM12 = 312DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 18.0N LONM24 = 86.0W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:07 am

SHIPS has backed off significantly from 2 days ago.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:09 am

The iniciation is more south that what sat estimates have and pressure is up so no Cindy this morning nor afternoon.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:10 am

Good news :D
0 likes   
Top
Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#5 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:10 am

cycloneye wrote:The iniciation is more south that what sat estimates have and pressure is up so no Cindy this morning nor afternoon.



Hmmmmmmm

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact lilbump3000

#6 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:36 am

Im sure the center is not at 20N so i dont know what those models are plotting.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: chaser1, Hammy and 534 guests