18Z GFDL....

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MGC
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18Z GFDL....

#1 Postby MGC » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:44 pm

Sometimes the models just make you laugh. The 18Z GFDL brings a 1002mb TS to the Louisiana coast, moves the cyclone into Mississippi south of Jackson and intensifies it to a 991mb hurricane inland.....MGC
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LSU2001
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#2 Postby LSU2001 » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:47 pm

must be the heat content of the resovoir. Those things can be dangerous!! :lol: :lol: :lol: :blow:
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#3 Postby Cookiely » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:49 pm

I had a strange dream the other night. The dream was of the movie the Godfather and the people were named after the weather models. UKMET told someone the GFS was trying to pull a fast one. I woke up laughing my head off.
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gkrangers

#4 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:50 pm

Cookiely wrote:I had a strange dream the other night. The dream was of the movie the Godfather and the people were named after the weather models. UKMET told someone the GFS was trying to pull a fast one. I woke up laughing my head off.
Time to step away from the computer for a few days!! :D
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Category 2 at Jackson

#5 Postby jimvb » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:51 pm

You're right. I checked it out. It not only produces hurricane force winds, but it does so to the N and NNW, not the NE quadrant, and it even reaches Category 2, somewhere near Jackson, MS. Sometimes these models do crazy things. This leads credence to those who think that it will strike TX instead.
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Re: 18Z GFDL....

#6 Postby corpusbreeze » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:59 pm

MGC wrote:Sometimes the models just make you laugh. The 18Z GFDL brings a 1002mb TS to the Louisiana coast, moves the cyclone into Mississippi south of Jackson and intensifies it to a 991mb hurricane inland.....MGC
Thats why models at this stage are unreliable.
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gkrangers

#7 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 03, 2005 11:05 pm

Yeah, but the GFS and GFDL are *really* sucking on this storm.
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#8 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Jul 03, 2005 11:13 pm

I dont believe the GFS or GFDL
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#9 Postby Swimdude » Sun Jul 03, 2005 11:20 pm

I guess this just goes as proof that we can't always trust the models. Humans are smarter than machines. [Sorry, just saw 'War of the Worlds' this afternoon!] Sometimes we just have to rely on our own knowledge.
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gkrangers

#10 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 03, 2005 11:21 pm

In the Euro we trust! :D
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kevin

#11 Postby kevin » Sun Jul 03, 2005 11:21 pm

If I remember correctly (from the book) microbes are better at killing aliens than people..... :P
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