Recon Reports

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drezee
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#81 Postby drezee » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:50 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:got a 33KT FL wind on the outbound leg

this at least justifies a 25KT intensity. still not seeing anything justifying a 30KT intensity


There is ground truth to your statement: strongest observed winds today (1-min)

Buoy 42056

Time (GMT) WSPD WDIR
1431 25.3 kts ENE ( 76 deg true )
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#82 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:20 pm

Time: 2159Z
Latitude: 19.9°N
Longitude: 86.2°W
Location: 90 mi SSE of Cancun, Mexico
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: ESE (110°) @ 20 mph
Temperature: 75°F
Dewpoint: 75°F
Weather: Rainshowers
Sea level pressure: 1011 mb
Surface Wind: E (90°) @ 17 mph
Remarks: 5
RMK AF308 01DDA INVEST OB 17
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#83 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:18 pm

Time: 22:32:10Z
Latitude: 18.6°N
Longitude: 87.1°W
Location: 106 mi NE of Belize City, Belize
Minimum height at NA mb NA m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: 35 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max surface wind: 24 mi N (9°)
Maximum flight level wind: ESE (102°) @ 37 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 22 mi N (9°)
Sea level pressure: 1007 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 73°F at 988 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 77°F at 997 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 75°F
Eye character: NA
Eye shape: NA
Eye diameter: NA
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at Surface
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 2 nm
AF308 01DDA INVEST OB 18
MAX FL WIND 33 KT E QUAD 21:10:00 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.
Last edited by senorpepr on Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#84 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:18 pm

Time: 2305Z
Latitude: 20.2°N
Longitude: 86.5°W
Location: 63 mi SSE of Cancun, Mexico
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: ESE (120°) @ 18 mph
Temperature: 75°F
Dewpoint: 73°F
Weather: Rainshowers
Sea level pressure: 1011 mb
Surface Wind: E (100°) @ 12 mph
Remarks: 0
RMK AF308 01DDA INVEST OB 19
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#85 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:19 pm

Inbound Ob #1: 19.8°N 086.3°W; Sea level pressure: 1011 mb; Temp: 75°F; Dewpt: 75°F; Flt level wind: ESE (110°) @ 17 mph
Inbound Ob #2: 19.7°N 086.4°W; Sea level pressure: 1010 mb; Temp: 75°F; Dewpt: 72°F; Flt level wind: ESE (110°) @ 24 mph
Inbound Ob #3: 19.5°N 086.6°W; Sea level pressure: 1010 mb; Temp: 73°F; Dewpt: 73°F; Flt level wind: ESE (110°) @ 24 mph
Inbound Ob #4: 19.3°N 086.8°W; Sea level pressure: 1010 mb; Temp: 75°F; Dewpt: 75°F; Flt level wind: ESE (120°) @ 20 mph
Inbound Ob #5: 19.1°N 087.0°W; Sea level pressure: 1010 mb; Temp: 73°F; Dewpt: 72°F; Flt level wind: ESE (110°) @ 25 mph
Inbound Ob #6: 18.8°N 087.1°W; Sea level pressure: 1009 mb; Temp: 73°F; Dewpt: 73°F; Flt level wind: E (90°) @ 28 mph
Max flight level wind (Inbound): 37 mph at 18.9°N 087.1°W
First inbound ob surface wind: E (90°) @ 17 mph

Outbound Ob #1: 18.8°N 087.0°W; Sea level pressure: 1009 mb; Temp: 73°F; Dewpt: 73°F; Flt level wind: ESE (120°) @ 29 mph
Outbound Ob #2: 19.1°N 086.9°W; Sea level pressure: 1010 mb; Temp: 73°F; Dewpt: 73°F; Flt level wind: ESE (120°) @ 29 mph
Outbound Ob #3: 19.3°N 086.9°W; Sea level pressure: 1010 mb; Temp: 75°F; Dewpt: 72°F; Flt level wind: SE (130°) @ 25 mph
Outbound Ob #4: 19.5°N 086.8°W; Sea level pressure: 1010 mb; Temp: 75°F; Dewpt: 73°F; Flt level wind: SE (130°) @ 23 mph
Outbound Ob #5: 19.8°N 086.7°W; Sea level pressure: 1011 mb; Temp: 73°F; Dewpt: 73°F; Flt level wind: SE (130°) @ 20 mph
Outbound Ob #6: 20.0°N 086.6°W; Sea level pressure: 1011 mb; Temp: 75°F; Dewpt: 75°F; Flt level wind: ESE (110°) @ 13 mph
Max flight level wind (Outbound): 37 mph at 18.9°N 087.0°W
Last outbound ob surface wind: E (100°) @ 12 mph
AF308 01DDA INVEST OB 20
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#86 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:21 pm

senorpepr wrote:Time: 2305Z
Latitude: 20.2°N
Longitude: 86.5°W
Location: 63 mi SSE of Cancun, Mexico
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: ESE (120°) @ 18 mph
Temperature: 75°F
Dewpoint: 73°F
Weather: Rainshowers
Sea level pressure: 1011 mb
Surface Wind: E (100°) @ 12 mph
Remarks: 0
RMK AF308 01DDA INVEST OB 19



Interesting to note the 1007mb pressure.. Each vort message has gone down a mb..

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
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#87 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:22 pm

I've been noticing that as well...
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#88 Postby Air Force Met » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:28 pm

senorpepr wrote:I've been noticing that as well...


Latest fix is NNE of last one...not by much...but it may be a hint of the LLC moving towards the MLC
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#89 Postby Wpwxguy » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:32 pm

Thunderstorms really seem to be booming right now. Not saying she'll be a storm at landfall, but she's trying to get together.

Bill
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#90 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 7:36 pm

Time: 0010Z
Latitude: 24.4°N
Longitude: 87.4°W
Location: 235 mi N of Cancun, Mexico
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: SE (130°) @ 18 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -9°F
Weather: Scattered Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF308 01DDA INVEST OB 22
LAST REPORT
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#91 Postby skysummit » Sun Jul 03, 2005 7:37 pm

When are they scheduled to go back out?
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#92 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 7:40 pm

Well, that finishes up Mission I.

Mission II (Low-level AF flight) will take off from Mississippi at 11am EDT tomorrow. Time on station will be 12:30pm-8:30pm EDT.

Mission III (High-level NOAA flight) will take off from Florida at 2pm EDT and will flight throughout the evening.

Mission IV (Low-level AF flight) will take off from Mississippi at 11:15pm EDT and will be on station between 12:30am and 8:30am EDT on Tuesday.

Expect 3-hourly fixes thereafter with a G-IV Mission Tuesday evening.
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#93 Postby skysummit » Sun Jul 03, 2005 7:43 pm

Senorperp, thank you very much for your up to the minute updates! I greatly appreciate it, and I'm sure everyone else does! :clap: :clap: :clap:
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#94 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:39 pm

Remember tomorrow to check Storm2k's recon page (http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/recon.htm) for the latest raw reports. I'll try to be around for decoding.

Also, if you haven't seen it yet, check out the Atlantic buoy page: http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/buoy.htm
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#95 Postby Lowpressure » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:52 pm

skysummit wrote:Senorperp, thank you very much for your up to the minute updates! I greatly appreciate it, and I'm sure everyone else does! :clap: :clap: :clap:


I second that, very timely and solid data, good work.
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#96 Postby dhweather » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:54 pm

Lowpressure wrote:
skysummit wrote:Senorperp, thank you very much for your up to the minute updates! I greatly appreciate it, and I'm sure everyone else does! :clap: :clap: :clap:


I second that, very timely and solid data, good work.


And GREATLY appreciated! :D
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#97 Postby southerngale » Mon Jul 04, 2005 2:45 am

Thanks for all your recon work, senor! Image
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#98 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jul 04, 2005 7:19 am

Remember to check Storm2k's recon page (http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/recon.htm) for the latest raw reports. I'll be up this afternoon for some decoding.

Also, if you haven't seen it yet, check out the Atlantic buoy page: http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/buoy.htm
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