center may be relocating

[Ivanhater]

is it posible that the northen "center" could take over?

[MGC]

Those are my concerns Ivanhater. Just looking at the cloud pattern it appears to me that a new center may try and reform to the north of the current center.......MGC

[dhweather]

MGC - I've had a feeling, based upon watching countless satellite images,
that this will reform to the NE of where the LLC is now.

There appears to be two areas, to me, with some form of circulation.

We'll find out in 24-48 hours.

[sweetpea]

What would that mean if a new center took over to the north? Would that change were they think it is going? Sorry about the stupid question but I am just reading and learning.

[dhweather]

What would that mean if a new center took over to the north? Would that change were they think it is going? Sorry about the stupid question but I am just reading and learning.

Always feel free to ask questions!

That's why we are here!! Help each other learn!!!!

Yes, it's somewhat common in weak systems for the center to redevelop.
If this one does redevelop to the northeast of the current center, then
that would likely change the forecast path to the east a little bit.

If it does not redevelop, then the NHC forecast is likely dead on.

[Ivanhater]

im just glad im not the only one who thinks the center may try to relocate , its just hard to believe the center is that far south..jmho

[sweetpea]

Thanks for the answer dhweather. This has become my new hobby.

[dhweather]

This morning, in particular, the center was clearly closing in on Belize,
but it had not closed off just yet. It has closed off now, but I'm
very suspicious that we will see it reform to the NE.

[dhweather]

Thanks for the answer dhweather. This has become my new hobby.

It's a great hobby to have, and we call storm2k "The Legal Addiction"

[Ivanhater]

i agree dhweather, based on visible image something is in the works

[Stormcenter]

It sure does look like there may be a new center trying develop
to the NE based on visible loop but hey I guess the recon has a better fix on it than us.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[MGC]

I think a center to the north of the current one will become dominant. It will have less of the Yucatan to move over. If the center does reform the threat will shift eastward......MGC

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Lets just wait and see what happens after landfall. My thinking is once it does since the circulation is so broad the current llc could die off and reform where the stronger MLC is. Which is what is showing up so nicely on the vis sat loops.

[Ivanhater]

what impact will land have on developing a new center farther north?

[wxboy]

very little, simply stated.

[Wpwxguy]

Well it looks to be a broad circulation and hard to pinpoint a center. I know the NHC says where its at, but I too feel that the more northerly circulation will become the dominant. It should cross the Yuchatan near Cozumel and spend very little time over land and be impacted very little by the crossing. Should emerge into the gulf I'd say by noon tomorrow.
Then our eyes need to go north to Texas/La border to MS. IMO

[Ivanhater]

latest reports seem to be farther north...this could be the start of the relocation

[Air Force Met]

latest reports seem to be farther north...this could be the start of the relocation

I think so...looks that way at least...

[Ivanhater]

what change would stalling have on relocation?

[tw861]

what change would stalling have on relocation?

I'm not so sure it's stalling. it's possible that when they first fixed the center it was in it's formative stages because to me there seemed to be a trough extending northeastward from the center. I think it's more a case of just becoming better organized or tightening up and maybe stacking up with the MLC further NE. Looks like it might wind up being somewhere near or just SE of Cozumel. THe overall system still seems to be moving WNW though.