This storm may hook NE

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feederband
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#21 Postby feederband » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:25 pm

ALhurricane wrote:If this thing becomes a Florida threat then I will be the youngest retiring meteorologist in the country. :D



Becareful , Stranger things have happened.....
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#22 Postby Opal storm » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:29 pm

feederband wrote:Ok as long as you don't put Florainans in the cone of doom I'm ok with a track futher to right...Just keep her away from Floraina.... :eek:

The panhandle might get some weather from this but NO direct hit.
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#23 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:31 pm

wx247 wrote:
ALhurricane wrote:If this thing becomes a Florida threat then I will be the youngest retiring meteorologist in the country. :D


But, of course, according to the thread it WILL turn... no ifs or mights there. Better turn in your two week notice now. :A:


Hey I said I "think" it would turn NE I didn't say I knew for sure. I also didn't think it would make as far east as SW La. or maybe C. LA. but not FL. Look everyone else likes to predict on this board so why can't I put it my 2 cents?
Last edited by Stormcenter on Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#24 Postby ALhurricane » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:31 pm

If it busts through the Bermuda high and hits Florida, then none of us really has a clue at all what is going on.

The peninsula is very very safe from this. Cannot totally rule out some effects in the panhandle, but I feel that landfall will be much further west.
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#25 Postby wx247 » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:33 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
wx247 wrote:
ALhurricane wrote:If this thing becomes a Florida threat then I will be the youngest retiring meteorologist in the country. :D


But, of course, according to the thread it WILL turn... no ifs or mights there. Better turn in your two week notice now. :A:


Hey I said I "think" it would turn NE I didn't knew for sure. Look everyone else likes to predict on this board so why can't I put it my 2 cents?


Just going by your thread title and having a little fun. Chill! :)
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#26 Postby loon » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:34 pm

ALhurricane wrote:If it busts through the Bermuda high and hits Florida, then none of us really has a clue at all what is going on.

The peninsula is very very safe from this. Cannot totally rule out some effects in the panhandle, but I feel that landfall will be much further west.


Whats your thoughts on strength ALH? I live in Texas City, just on the north side of Galveston Bay...you think the Hou/Gal hit is a real possiblity? and what strength?

cheers
loon
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#27 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:35 pm

wx247 wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
wx247 wrote:
ALhurricane wrote:If this thing becomes a Florida threat then I will be the youngest retiring meteorologist in the country. :D


But, of course, according to the thread it WILL turn... no ifs or mights there. Better turn in your two week notice now. :A:


Hey I said I "think" it would turn NE I didn't knew for sure. Look everyone else likes to predict on this board so why can't I put it my 2 cents?


Just going by your thread title and having a little fun. Chill! :)


That's cool. :)
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#28 Postby ALhurricane » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:41 pm

I think the Upper TX coast and SW LA are the prime targets at this point. The system will follow the periphery of the Bermuda high. Depending on how much the high retrogrades in time will mean the difference between upper TX or LA.

As far as intensity. Regardless of why the models don't strengthen this system, it is a definite possibility to be looking at a minimal hurricane at landfall.
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#29 Postby loon » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:44 pm

Dr. Neil Frank is about to talk on the Local news....lets see what he says.

thanks for your answer ALH...

cheers,
loon
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#30 Postby southerngale » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:47 pm

loon wrote:Dr. Neil Frank is about to talk on the Local news....lets see what he says.

thanks for your answer ALH...

cheers,
loon


Please post his comments. :)
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#31 Postby Guest » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:52 pm

I managed to wave down a boat just south of western tip of Cuba. No sign of Jr, but I'm sure he is ok, plenty of sharks for him to feed off of in the Caribbean. I did see something unusual out there, it was this big plane that kept making criss cross patterns over me. i took one lucky shot with my rifle and downed that spy. Hope the goverment will give me a big reward. I believed it to be a spy plane with US markings on it. One time it even made a shot at me, some big yellow cylinder looking object nearly took my arm as it shot past the side of the boat into the water.


Anyways you guys dont forget my prediction for Cindy, landfall LA & MS on Tuesday evening. Gotta go find Jr.
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#32 Postby Air Force Met » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:52 pm

loon wrote:Dr. Neil Frank is about to talk on the Local news....lets see what he says.

thanks for your answer ALH...

cheers,
loon


He went for a 30% chance of rain on Wed and Thur. That's a pretty bad forecast...given what the NHC is forecasting. He must just be copying the local NWS forecast...which was for a 30% chance...they've upped it some.
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#33 Postby feederband » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:54 pm

Frederic1979 wrote:I managed to wave down a boat just south of western tip of Cuba. No sign of Jr, but I'm sure he is ok, plenty of sharks for him to feed off of in the Caribbean. I did see something unusual out there, it was this big plane that kept making criss cross patterns over me. i took one lucky shot with my rifle and downed that spy. Hope the goverment will give me a big reward. I believed it to be a spy plane with US markings on it. One time it even made a shot at me, some big yellow cylinder looking object nearly took my arm as it shot past the side of the boat into the water.


Anyways you guys dont forget my prediction for Cindy, landfall LA & MS on Tuesday evening. Gotta go find Jr.



Maybe jr is hanging on to that missing Bouy....
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#34 Postby loon » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:02 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
loon wrote:Dr. Neil Frank is about to talk on the Local news....lets see what he says.

thanks for your answer ALH...

cheers,
loon


He went for a 30% chance of rain on Wed and Thur. That's a pretty bad forecast...given what the NHC is forecasting. He must just be copying the local NWS forecast...which was for a 30% chance...they've upped it some.



Yeah, he seemed very much not worried about this thing until it clears the Yuc....

I hope its not one of those exploders....Dr Frank will have a heart attack.

cheers,

loon
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#35 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:11 pm

I included a disclaimer at the first post of this thread.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#36 Postby Wpwxguy » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:12 pm

I am really curious as to why the models are having such a hard time with this. I guess it just goes to show that they are only a tool and not any better than the info that is fed into them. Strange.
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#37 Postby Opal storm » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:18 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
loon wrote:Dr. Neil Frank is about to talk on the Local news....lets see what he says.

thanks for your answer ALH...

cheers,
loon


He went for a 30% chance of rain on Wed and Thur. That's a pretty bad forecast...given what the NHC is forecasting. He must just be copying the local NWS forecast...which was for a 30% chance...they've upped it some.

That is a bad forecast,local mets here have much higher rain chances becuase of this system.And we're hundreds of miles east of the cone. :lol:
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gkrangers

#38 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 03, 2005 6:41 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Gkrangers, A trough dropping down would turn the winds more southerly and increase shear that would lead to a more N to NNE, NE track.
So would any and all troughs have this same effect?
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wxcrazytwo

#39 Postby wxcrazytwo » Sun Jul 03, 2005 7:40 pm

ALhurricane wrote:If this thing becomes a Florida threat then I will be the youngest retiring meteorologist in the country. :D


Didn't Hurricane Gordon (2000) follow the same path as Depression 3 and end up in Florida big bend area.
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#40 Postby baygirl_1 » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:19 pm

please excuse any errors... typing w/my left hand due to stupid fall in my own kitchen that messed up my right hand! :grrr:
i've been checking forecast discussiobns around my neck of the gulf...
1. jackson, ms is concerned about the front approaching abd thinks that will pull Cindy more north
2. tallahassee, fl seems concerne about cindy affecting part of panhandle
3. birmingham, al is calling for possible higher rain pops mid to late week (but the cone does show a curve ne after landfall, which could explain that)
4. mobile,al has no info yet (that i could find)
so... what impact will approaching front have? all opinios welcome! i mean, we don't usually get fronts way down here this tiime of year. also, after opal, hurricanes riding up fronts make me worried! :eek:
thanks for all opinions...
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