5:30 PM TWO=Wave Better organized,Conditions favorable

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:22 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
DEVELOPED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE...LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 80 MILES EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON THE DEPRESSION ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT33 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
THE DEPRESSION ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT23 AND UNDER AWIPS
HEADER MIATCMAT3.

A LARGE WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO
20 MPH...AND HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TO
OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SQUALLY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TONIGHT AND MONDAY
RESULTING IN PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

#2 Postby **dhweather** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:26 pm

Luis, I think the much anticipated season is about to start.

Hold on kids, the ride is about to get rough.

Website · #3 Postby **Brent** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:27 pm

Hyperstorm · #4 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:28 pm

As I said in an earlier post, this kind of organization warrants a reconaissance aircraft to be sent there tomorrow afternoon. If it continues at this current developmental rate, depression status is quite likely (disregarding it being in the Eastern Caribbean "Graveyard" as conditions are very favorable) in 24-36 hours.

Opal storm · #5 Postby **Opal storm** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:29 pm

Is it July??? :roll:

Derek Ortt · #6 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:29 pm

right when the tour starts...

better get this out of the way now as I DO NOT WORK during live coverage of any mountain stage

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:29 pm

I think that this wave will have a better chance when it reaches the 70w longitud and further west.

#8 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:31 pm

that outlook is about the same as TD3 was a couple of days ago

#9 Postby **pavelbure224** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:32 pm

is there any model links showing the wave getting stronger and moving towards florida

#10 Postby **dhweather** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:35 pm

I have not seen any model runs on the wave in the antillies.

That does not mean none have been run, it just means I have not
seen any if they have.

I'm certain Luis or some of our other friends down there will post them
as soon as they become available. They have a significant interest in
that system!

#11 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:40 pm

When the invest is up the tropical models will start to plot.

southerngale · #12 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:47 pm

Opal storm wrote:Is it July???

Does Mother Nature know it's ONLY July 3rd?

vacanechaser · #13 Postby **vacanechaser** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:58 pm

Looks like it is gonna be a long season... :lol:

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

CYCLONE MIKE · #14 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:02 pm

cycloneye, what is your take on that strong wave in the far east carib.? I have a lot of interest in that one (as TD3) but more so because we are going on vacation to Sanibel Island, Florida next week. I saw some earlier models and posts about a hurricane for the NW carib. Opinions?

5:30 PM TWO=Wave Better organized,Conditions favorable

5:30 PM TWO=Wave Better organized,Conditions favorable

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