Tropical Storm Dora,Update=Downgraded to Depression

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#21 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 01, 2005 9:59 pm

boca_chris wrote:the EPAC is active as usual...what is the official score now?


3 EPAC-2 Atlantic.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#22 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 01, 2005 10:11 pm

cycloneye wrote:
boca_chris wrote:the EPAC is active as usual...what is the official score now?


3 EPAC-2 Atlantic.


GO ATLANTIC, GO ATLANTIC, LET GET TO AUGUST!
0 likes   

hurricanefreak1988
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 869
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 10:13 pm
Location: Fayetteville, NC
Contact:

#23 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Fri Jul 01, 2005 10:12 pm

skysummit wrote:Geez....we're falling behind rapidly!

Grr. Some of you seem to forget how it always goes, lol. June and July to the E-Pac is what August and September is to us. No worries. Heck, we can fall behind 8-2 and easily come back to win the 2005 title.

cycloneye wrote:
boca_chris wrote:the EPAC is active as usual...what is the official score now?


3 EPAC-2 Atlantic.

...and if you'd like to see that on my super-duper state-of-the-art scoreboard...

Image

I need to get some sponsors on that thing. :lol:
Last edited by hurricanefreak1988 on Fri Jul 01, 2005 10:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#24 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 01, 2005 10:13 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
boca_chris wrote:the EPAC is active as usual...what is the official score now?


3 EPAC-2 Atlantic.


GO ATLANTIC, GO ATLANTIC, LET GET TO AUGUST!


:woo: :hoola:
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#25 Postby dhweather » Fri Jul 01, 2005 10:16 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:
skysummit wrote:Geez....we're falling behind rapidly!

Grr. Some of you seem to forget how it always goes, lol. June and July to the E-Pac is what August and September is to us. No worries. Heck, we can fall behind 8-2 and easily come back to win the 2005 title.

cycloneye wrote:
boca_chris wrote:the EPAC is active as usual...what is the official score now?


3 EPAC-2 Atlantic.

...and if you'd like to see that on my super-duper state-of-the-art scoreboard...

Image

I need to get some sponsors on that thing. :lol:


I love the scoreboard!!!!!!!

:D
0 likes   

hurricanefreak1988
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 869
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 10:13 pm
Location: Fayetteville, NC
Contact:

#26 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Fri Jul 01, 2005 10:17 pm

Thanks. Hopefully off-site avatars will be enabled again soon, so everyone can see it more often. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#27 Postby dhweather » Fri Jul 01, 2005 10:20 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Thanks. Hopefully off-site avatars will be enabled again soon, so everyone can see it more often. :)



That would be nice - I miss my Mitch avatar. :(
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#28 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 01, 2005 10:45 pm

ABPZ20 KNHC 020343
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM PDT FRI JUL 1 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#29 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 01, 2005 11:40 pm

01/2345 UTC 12.4N 97.7W TOO WEAK 90E -- East Pacific Ocean


I hope the Eastern Pacific has 20 named storms. Which it can do.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#30 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jul 01, 2005 11:57 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:01/2345 UTC 12.4N 97.7W TOO WEAK 90E -- East Pacific Ocean


I hope the Eastern Pacific has 20 named storms. Which it can do.


I think the Atlantic has a better shot at 20 this year than the East Pacific.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#31 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Jul 02, 2005 12:36 am

We'll possibily have Dora in 24 hours
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#32 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 02, 2005 6:19 am

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021001
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM PDT SAT JUL 2 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#33 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 02, 2005 4:25 pm

Possible development in the next... 35 hours?

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#34 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Jul 02, 2005 5:37 pm

35 hours, ROFL! Maybe they fine tuned predicting cyclogenisis :roll:
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#35 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 02, 2005 6:09 pm

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022229
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM PDT SAT JUL 2 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EXTENDING FROM THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES HAS BECOME A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. CONDITIONS ARE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. SOME SQUALLS COULD SPREAD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#36 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 02, 2005 10:03 pm

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 030251Z JUL 05//
WTPN21 PGTW 030300
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.0N4 98.1W8 TO 15.2N8 102.1W4
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM­
AGERY AT 022345Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 13.4N8 98.8W5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 040300Z7.


Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert has been issued for 93E at EPAC.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#37 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 02, 2005 10:18 pm

Come on Dora make it 4 to 2 (OFFIALLY but 94L is being looked into :P )
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#38 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 02, 2005 10:47 pm

ABPZ20 KNHC 030343
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM PDT SAT JUL 2 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE...AND THIS SYSTEM
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. SQUALLS PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE ALONG
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO
ZIHUATANEJO DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#39 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 02, 2005 11:02 pm

The quickscats show that there is a LLC. With the models hinting at a movement to the northwest. This has alot more convectin then 96L. In is looking good for Dora.
0 likes   

Scorpion

#40 Postby Scorpion » Sun Jul 03, 2005 1:03 am

Boo EPAC :grr:. Lol hopefully Dora goes away because it probably is initiating shear over 96L.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 545 guests