Calvin strikes back?

Thunder44 · #21 Postby **Thunder44** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 6:45 am

This is what TPC said this morning on Calvin. Apparently they aren't impressed yet:

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301015
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM PDT THU JUN 30 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN...IS CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL
ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...OR REDEVELOPMENT...OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #22 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 6:48 am

Disoreganized??? It looks like its getting oreganized right now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #23 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 6:56 am

T numbers

30/0000 UTC 14.7N 107.7W T1.5/1.5 CALVIN

Looking at the satellite it appears to have some what better defined cirualtion. So it may do something if it doe's not move north. But remember the shear is unfavable so only slow oreganizion.

hurricanefreak1988 · #24 Postby **hurricanefreak1988** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:17 pm

1PM EDT E-Pac TWO wrote:A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN...IS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND...IT COULD REGAIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

Sheesh! Make up your mind, Calvin! :roll:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #25 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 5:16 pm

Calvin is looking good at this time. Also appears to have formed a slightly tighter LLC.

#26 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 6:17 pm

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302217
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM PDT THU JUN 30 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN IS CENTERED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND
THIS SYSTEM COULD BRIEFLY REGAIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS BEFORE
IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS ON FRIDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

He is still on life support.

#27 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 7:35 pm

30/0000 UTC 14.7N 107.7W T1.5/1.5 CALVIN -- East Pacific Ocean

hurricanefreak1988 · #28 Postby **hurricanefreak1988** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 10:10 pm

Tick, tock, tick, tock...

Time's running out. The 1AM EDT E-Pac TWO will probably give us a final "he will" or "he won't" answer. Hopefully, the answer will be "he won't". :grrr:

#29 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 10:22 pm

01/0000 UTC 15.8N 109.6W T1.0/1.0 CALVIN -- East Pacific Ocean

Not looking good for development right now according to the latest Dvorak, and time is running out.

#30 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 10:27 pm

TIME IS OUT!

:blowup:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM PDT THU JUN 30 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN...IS CENTERED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE STILL SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION BUT THE DISTURBANCE IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OVER COOLER
WATERS...DIMINISHING THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO REGAIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

hurricanefreak1988 · #31 Postby **hurricanefreak1988** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 10:50 pm

Yep, just like I called it, the 1AM EDT E-Pac TWO gave us the final verdict. Good riddance, Calvin!!! :grrr:

Website · #32 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 10:55 pm

HURAKAN wrote:TIME IS OUT!

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM PDT THU JUN 30 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN...IS CENTERED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE STILL SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION BUT THE DISTURBANCE IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OVER COOLER
WATERS...DIMINISHING THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO REGAIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

An hour and a half early!!! Talk about going home for the holiday! :lol:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #33 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 10:55 pm

Darn it I wish both basins can have active seasons. The Atlatnic most likely will not have another tropical cyclone intill August. So the Eastern Pacific should be to watch for July....Come on do you love watching cyclones?

Scorpion · #34 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 10:59 pm

Dont think so. July seems it will be an active month.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #35 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 30, 2005 11:15 pm

Remember that histroy says that tropical cyclones only form once every two years an July. In even are less likely then June. Reasons is the Eastern Pacific takes all the distrabances/Energy from the Gulf/Western Caribbean. Intill the Cape verdes can get more active once into August=more tropical waves=More distrabances for the Atlatnic which means more storms.

HurricaneBill · #36 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Fri Jul 01, 2005 12:40 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Darn it I wish both basins can have active seasons.

It's happened before. 1990 and 2003 (sort of).

Calvin strikes back?

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