Do the models develop the SW carribean into anything?

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

If they do, what would be the synoptic setup for next week. Whcih way would any developing system be moving? W into Mexico, NW into Texas, N into the Gulf states or NE into Florida... or ENE into Fish territory???

[Thunder44]

Read the tread on the MM5 Significant System in the Gulf below.

[Swimdude]

Definately not a fish.

[Steve]

Looking at the "bulge" shown in many of the 12z models, my early morning line guess would be (assuming it gets that far of course) somewhat similar to what we saw with Bret possibly with a more northerly component - say NE Mexico or South or Central Texas.

It's still too early.

Steve

[Anonymous]

..and if Bret have moved north...IMO...it would have been a "MAJOR" player if you know what I mean.

[Wpwxguy]

The New Orleans office mentions the wave in their AFD. It may bring some welcomed rain to our area and areas west. Development? Who knows, I'd give it another 2 days before I try to make a call. But, who knows .

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
215 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

.DISCUSSION...
ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING INTERACTING WITH A WEAK
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION WAS RESULTING IN SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA AGAIN TODAY...WITH PERHAPS THE BEST COVERAGE OCCURRING IN AREAS
AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND COASTAL AREAS AS WELL AS THE COASTAL
WATERS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL WEAKEN FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MOVE EAST INTO
SOUTHEAST CANADA AND NEW ENGLAND BY SATURDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE
HEIGHTS TO DECREASE ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. AND PUSH A COLD FRONT
SOUTH INTO THE GULF COAST STATES OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS
BOUNDARY...WHICH MAY PUSH AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE
LOCAL FORECAST AREA BEFORE STALLING...IN COMBINATION WITH SHORT
WAVES IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION SHOULD
RESULT IN HIGHER RAIN CHANCES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. AN INCREASE IN
RIDGING ALOFT WILL RESULT IN LOWER RAIN CHANCES FOR THE FOURTH OF
JULY...BUT CONVECTION WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AGAIN TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
APPROACHES THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.