RECON IS A GO!!!!!

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drezee
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#21 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:28 pm

383
URNT11 KNHC 281825
97779 18174 31285 90800 73100 23037 66721 /5763
RMK AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 01
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southerngale
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#22 Postby southerngale » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:28 pm

Brent wrote:
BreinLa wrote:Okay Ceye you gonna have to help me out here what does it mean


They have a ways to go. Won't be in til around 4pm CDT.



Won't it be at a taco stand by then?
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#23 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:29 pm

southerngale wrote:
Brent wrote:
BreinLa wrote:Okay Ceye you gonna have to help me out here what does it mean


They have a ways to go. Won't be in til around 4pm CDT.



Won't it be at a taco stand by then?


LOL :lol:
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#24 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:31 pm

Definitely a TD and could even be Bret. Its making landfall and I am surprised Reconn is flying into a tropical system that is landfalling.
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drezee
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#25 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:34 pm

Did any one notice the 37 knot flight level winds out of the SW! Love that jet...
Last edited by drezee on Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#26 Postby Normandy » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:34 pm

Well its not making landfall...its still easily over water. I want to see the movement recon finds.
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#27 Postby southerngale » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:40 pm

Isn't there a ridge of high pressure over Texas? I would think it has nowhere to go but west, or wnw. But what do I know?
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#28 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:41 pm

I don't know where those first 3 reports came from early in this thread, but that plane was heading NE toward Biloxi. The last recon fix posted (Ob 1 at 1825Z) looks like it could be a plane going down there. I estimate the position of the depression to be near 19.6N/95.7W, or about 42 miles offshore. At the rate it's moving, it'll be inland in 8-12 hours. Not much time to develop.

Here's an 18Z shot:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/boc5.gif">
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#29 Postby mikey mike » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:46 pm

TV met out of N.Orleans was shocked that the NHC had not classiied this thing yet.He said it looked like a tropical storm to him.I agree.
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#30 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:46 pm

drezee wrote:Did any one notice the 37 knot flight level winds out of the SW! Love that jet...


That flight level wind was way up to the north, about 700 miles to the northeast of the center- so I don't think it's significant in terms of defining a circulation.
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#31 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:49 pm

Very confident this will go straight to Bret. It has wrapped up nicely today.
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#32 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:58 pm

826
URNT11 KNHC 281855
97779 18484 31265 92500 73200 22020 66841 /5763
RMK AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 02
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#33 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:59 pm

wxman57 wrote:
drezee wrote:Did any one notice the 37 knot flight level winds out of the SW! Love that jet...


That flight level wind was way up to the north, about 700 miles to the northeast of the center- so I don't think it's significant in terms of defining a circulation.


I am not a retard! That is why I said love that jet. It is the SW wind flow you see on the sat pics.
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#34 Postby Swimdude » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:10 pm

Here we go. I'm leaving for vacation, so a storm forms. It's the same thing ever year. I said this same thing a month ago, knowing I was leaving on June 30th. And now it's happening. Four year in a row. Thanks, tropics. :x
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#35 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:16 pm

Time: 1817Z
Latitude: 28.5°N
Longitude: 90.8°W
Location: 65 mi SW of Grand Isle, Louisana
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: SW (230°) @ 43 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -8°F
Weather: Scattered Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 01


Time: 1848Z
Latitude: 26.5°N
Longitude: 92.5°W
Location: 220 mi SSW of Morgan City, Louisiana
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: SW (220°) @ 23 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -29°F
Weather: Scattered Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 02
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#36 Postby krysof » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:17 pm

I'm going July 1st, I hate missing everything. I'm going to look at all the archives of storms that are going to form between now and August 22nd which are going to be a lot. I hope only a few form between now and then.
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#37 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:19 pm

krysof wrote:I'm going July 1st, I hate missing everything. I'm going to look at all the archives of storms that are going to form between now and August 22nd which are going to be a lot. I hope only a few form between now and then.


Actually... it's better than being gone during Early to Mid September. Last year we had Alex, Bonnie, Charley, Danielle, Earl in that timeframe, but it's usually not that active then.
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#38 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:26 pm

Time: 1920Z
Latitude: 24.4°N
Longitude: 94.3°W
Location: 209 mi ESE of Brownsville, Texas
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: WSW (240°) @ 14 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -11°F
Weather: Broken Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 03
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#39 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:29 pm

senorpepr wrote:Time: 1920Z
Latitude: 24.4°N
Longitude: 94.3°W
Location: 209 mi ESE of Brownsville, Texas
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: WSW (240°) @ 14 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -11°F
Weather: Broken Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 03


They are more closer now to the system than from the gulf coast so in an hour or less they will be there.
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#40 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:30 pm

Now that's more like it. That thing looks pretty good. This one's gotta be Bret. 3-2 score? :P
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