25/18Z Models for 94L

[senorpepr]

Code: Select all

 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

  TROPICAL DEPRESSION     INVEST (AL942005) ON 20050625  1800 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          050625  1800   050626  0600   050626  1800   050627  0600

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    30.7N  76.7W   33.2N  78.0W   35.4N  79.1W   37.1N  80.0W
  BAMM    30.7N  76.7W   32.7N  78.0W   34.5N  79.2W   35.9N  80.2W
  A98E    30.7N  76.7W   32.5N  77.6W   34.7N  78.1W   36.5N  78.0W
  LBAR    30.7N  76.7W   32.6N  77.6W   34.4N  78.1W   35.9N  78.3W
  SHIP        25KTS          28KTS          32KTS          34KTS
  DSHP        25KTS          28KTS          27KTS          27KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          050627  1800   050628  1800   050629  1800   050630  1800

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    38.5N  80.6W   41.9N  80.5W   46.4N  74.9W   51.1N  62.6W
  BAMM    37.2N  80.9W   40.3N  81.5W   44.7N  77.4W   48.6N  65.6W
  A98E    37.9N  78.0W   40.9N  78.0W   44.8N  72.3W   49.3N  53.1W
  LBAR    37.1N  78.2W   39.1N  76.5W   40.6N  72.9W   40.9N  66.1W
  SHIP        33KTS          32KTS          33KTS          33KTS
  DSHP        27KTS          29KTS          30KTS          30KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  30.7N LONCUR =  76.7W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
  LATM12 =  28.9N LONM12 =  75.6W DIRM12 = 328DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
  LATM24 =  27.0N LONM24 =  74.4W
  WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   45NM WNDM12 =   25KT
  CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM

[senorpepr]

[petunia]

So, we have a tropical depression?

[senorpepr]

Invest (94L / N/A) (25/1800Z)
Position: 30.7°N 76.7°W (235 miles SSE from Cape Fear, North Carolina)
Movement: NNW at 12 mph
Winds: 30 mph
Pressure: 1011 mb / 29.85''
Dvorak Est: Too Weak

[senorpepr]

So, we have a tropical depression?

Not yet. We're still waiting to see what recon finds.

[Brent]

So, we have a tropical depression?

Still being called an Invest as of now. Things could change before 5 though depending on recon.

[dhweather]

Nothing more than a surface low that is being investigated right now.

It *might* develop, and may not as well.

[jdray]

Lots of mositure everywhere in the southeast

Get the nice TS-Storm style rain squalls and bands, but it also feels like a nice hard summer thunderstorm as well.

It is definitely coming down, lots of localized flooding and standing water on the roads around here.

The Carolinas must be really soaked by now.