NHC hangs tough at 2 a.m. for possible development.....

[dixiebreeze]

in 24 to 36 hours:

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUN 25 2005

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A SURFACE TROUGH IN THE W ATLC EXTENDS FROM 31N72W THROUGH A
1010 MB LOW IS NE OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR 27N75W TO A 1009 MB LOW
OVER THE BAHAMAS NEAR 25N77W TO CUBA NEAR 21N77W. THIS SYSTEM IS
BENEATH THE E EDGE OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH COVERS
PORTIONS OF THE GULF...NW CARIBBEAN...AND W ATLC. STRONG
DIFFLUENCE E OF THIS UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING AN AREA OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION E OF THE SURFACE FEATURES
FROM 21N-32N BETWEEN 66W-75W. SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HRS AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES NNW TOWARD THE CAROLINAS.

[mobilebay]

Dixie, That is from TAFB not NHC forecasters, they are not going to go against NHC forecasters.