Folks at RSMC Honolulu (CPHC) have something to talk about

[senorpepr]

ACPN50 PHFO 230639
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1000 PM HST WED JUN 22 2005

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

A DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR
09N 141W IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AROUND 15 MPH. THE DISTURBANCE
HAS BECOME MORE ACTIVE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND LIES SOUTH OF THE
MEAN MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGES. THE DISTURBANCE DOES NOT SHOW
SIGNS OF SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION AND NO WESTERLY WINDS ARE APPARANT
IN CLOUD MOTION OR THE 336Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO
BE UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

FARRELL

[mobilebay]

Your right. talk about a boring basin. Man if the Atlantic was that boring imagine the fussing that would go on here during all that down time

[LCfromFL]

How often have the Hawaiian islands been hit by hurricanes? Thinking back, I just really don't remember hearing about them being hit. Although a couple of years ago, I remember they were in the 'cone' of a weakening system.

Anyway - 3 weeks from today, my two daughters (ages 17 and 9) and I are heading to Hawaii for 10 days!!! Spending 5 days on Ohau (right on Waikiki Beach) and another 5 days on Maui.

Aren't tsunami's the greatest 'natural threat' to Hawaii (well, except of course for the volcano)?

L

[cycloneye]

The Central Pacific is the less active Basin in the world.Mike what is the average there of named storms 7 or less than that number?

[HURAKAN]

The Central Pacific is the less active Basin in the world.Mike what is the average there of named storms 7 or less than that number?

The average is around 2 per year, and in el NINO years, around 4.

[cycloneye]

The Central Pacific is the less active Basin in the world.Mike what is the average there of named storms 7 or less than that number?

The average is around 2 per year, and in el NINO years, around 4.

Oh boy I was way up with the 7.Thanks Sandy.

[HURAKAN]

The Central Pacific is the less active Basin in the world.Mike what is the average there of named storms 7 or less than that number?

The average is around 2 per year, and in el NINO years, around 4.

Oh boy I was way up with the 7.Thanks Sandy.

They usually have more cyclones enterring their region either from the EPAC or from the WPAC, than cyclones actually forming inside the CPAC.

EXAMPLES:

LOW YEAR: 1995, Only TS Barbara went to visit.

HIGH YEAR: 1992, 11 tropical systems visited the area, from which only 3 formed in the CPAC (Hurricane Ekeka, a rare Jan-Feb hurricane that formed at 4.5 N, TS Hali, rare also because it formed in March, Famous Hurricane Iniki*, and TD 3-C).

* = Iniki didn't start as a CPAC cyclone, but as TD 18-E, which then became a TS and later a Hurricane in the CPAC and adquiring the name "Iniki."

[Swimdude]

The Central Pacific is the less active Basin in the world.Mike what is the average there of named storms 7 or less than that number?

Whew, yeah we'd be pretty miserable here.

[Aslkahuna]

Iniki was the stongest hurricane to hit the islands with Iwa in November 1982 next in line. Iwa went on to become ET off the CA coast and brought heavy rains and winds gusting over 100 mph to the SFO Bay Area forcing closure of the GG Bridge (for fear of having cars blown off the span to the water below. High winds through the Altamont Pass east of Oakland knocked several Transmission towers built to withstand 100mph winds causing major power outages. As the cold front came through severe thunderstorms raked the Central Valley. The ET low also dumped heavy snows in UT. Cenpac has also be the breeding ground of several storms that have entered WPAC to become strong typhoons-most notable recent example being STY Paka that raked Guam. Two very noteworthy storms in this part of the world were Hurricane Sarah which developed in EPAC in 1967 and tracked through Cenpac into WPAC where it became a 120kt typhoon over Wake Island recurving just east of Japan. In the 1990's we had John which entered Cenpac from EPAC as a 100kt hurricane where it bombed to the strongest CENPAC storm ever and then entered WPAC where it eventually recurved back into CENPAC before going ET a full month later.

Steve

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST FRI JUN 24 2005

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

The disturbance we were following along about 10°N 145°W has dissipated.

Elsewhere, no Tropical Cyclones are expected through Saturday evening.

Farrell.

I would say "no Tropical Cyclone is expected until one crosses from the EPAC."