6-23-05 10:00 AM PDT TWO, Is CALVIN on the way?

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 10:00 am PDT on June 23, 2005


For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Beatriz located about 415 miles south of the southern tip of
Baja California.

An area of disturbed weather has formed a few hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Conditions appear favorable for additional
slow development during the next day or two as the system moves
westward at 5 to 10 mph.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Friday.

Forecaster Knabb/Beven

[Scorpion]

Oh great .

[Brent]

Boooooo.

[dhweather]

Man, the EPAC is on the verge of going up 3-1

[Swimdude]

It isn't uncommon for the EPAC to have a running head start. Still, i'm irritated at lack of Atlantic activity.

[Hurricanehink]

Relax, it's June! We'll regain the lead in September or October when EPAC is more or less dead.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The cmc,MM5,Gfs is hinting at something. Could we have are C storm looks possible.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Ukmet



NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS

FORECAST POSITION AT T+72 : 11.7N 97.0W



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

12UTC 26.06.2005 11.7N 97.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 27.06.2005 11.8N 97.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 27.06.2005 12.6N 98.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 28.06.2005 12.6N 100.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 28.06.2005 12.6N 101.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 29.06.2005 12.6N 103.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 29.06.2005 13.5N 105.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY





THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Can you say 3-1 soon!!!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EPAC/IR4/20.jpg

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232229
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM PDT THU JUN 23 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM BEATRIZ LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA.

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[whereverwx]

Wow, well the Atlantic needs some cheerleaders, maybe that will tempt some development. If not, then we could always wait!

[Brent]

Forgot to add... last year the EPAC was up 4-0




and we all know how that season turned out.

[dhweather]

Yeah, but that was last year.