My thoughts on 94L and then some...

[Anonymous]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

My thoughts:::



I feel that 94L may very well become "Bret" in a few days time. Cuba is almost certainly in for whatever the system has to bring (RAIN MOST THREATENING RIGHT NOW), and from there, Florida. However, would Bret, which would likely be a tropical storm or minimal hurricane, move north out to sea, or would it bury itself right into Florida???

I think we will see the system in the SW Caribbean become an invest soon, and then we will see it move northwest along the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua bring rainfall, and then into the NW Caribbean. If this would end up occuring, I would see this system or "CINDY" as being much more of a threat than "Bret".

Thoughts and comments welcome!

~Mike Naso

[Rainband]

Good discussion Won't the trough keep this away from Florida??

[hurricanedude]

have to actually see bret and cindy develop before we can say which one will be of more importance

[Anonymous]

Well, I say "CINDY" because:

1. The trough that might impact "BRET" would probably not impact it
2. Waters are warmer to the south
3. It would probably end up in the NW Caribbean or the Gulf of Mexico, and would be landlocked

[PTrackerLA]

I personally think "Bret" will get shunted out to sea and miss Florida all together, but that's just from looking at the current set up per water vapor loop.

[dhweather]

Last night, the OCM for WLOX Mike Reader indicated that the cold front
digging through Tennessee right now would stall out before reaching the coast.

Timing is everything, this will be interesting to watch it play out.

[HurricaneJoe22]

Floydbuster, thanks for your comments about the SW Caribbean. I've been trying to initiate comments on that all day. It doesn't appear to be moving west into the Pacific as some people are speculating. It looks as if it's just sitting there and thunderstorm activity is impressive. I agree it's due to be the next invest. The 5:30 TWO should be very interesting.

[senorpepr]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Here's my take on the system. I believe that Invest 94L will be nothing more than that -- an invest. The likelihood of this becoming a depression is very low. Conditions are just way unfavorable for any sensible development to take place. However, with that aside, this is a very hearty wave that will bring near-gale force winds and heavy rains to parts of the Greater Antilles. As for tropical cyclone development, I'll let Ms. Abrams say it...




Nonetheless, good discussion Mike. Unfortunately your bandwidth on your server is shot, so I can't view your image.