Spin in Gulf at 86W 25N?

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

The last few frames of satellite imagery seems to show a circulation at about 86W and 25N. The bulk of the convection is to the east of this swirl. Is this just an eddy in the front that has been draped across Florida? Is this circulation in the upper atmosphere? I didn't hear anyone indicating that there was even the possibility of an LLC forming in the eastern gulf.

The only reason I raise this is that back in '92 (?) we saw a big storm whip up out of "nowhere" from the gulf. We called it the no-name storm at the time. It seemed to be just the typical thunderstorms in the afternoon coming ashore... but they bombed just before coming in, causing lots of flooding and problems along the beach.

[Normandy]

Hmm that looks like an Upper Level Low to me.

[dhweather]

It is an ULL

[vbhoutex]

Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on June 22, 2005

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more concentrated
with the tropical wave in the central Caribbean Sea this morning.
While upper-level winds are expected to become less favorable for
tropical cyclone development over the next day or two...this system
could cause locally heavy and potentially hazardous rains over
portions of Hispaniola as it moves slowly west-northwestward.

A weak...and non-tropical...area of low pressure has developed in
the eastern Gulf of Mexico along a broad zone of showers and
thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are extremely unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation.

Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Thursday.

Forecaster Franklin/Knabb

I think this is your answer.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Good deal. I always get a little nervous seeing things spinnign around close to our shores...especially with the water so warm!
Thanks!

[Decomdoug]

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

Looks like a major rain event![/img]

[cycloneye]

GULF OF MEXICO...

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR DATA ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO
AND SOUTHEAST U.S. SHOW A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROF DROPPING DOWN
ACROSS THE GEORGIA/FLORIDA BORDER...AND A CUT-OFF LOW DEVELOPING
OVER THE E GULF WATERS NEAR 26N86W. THIS UPPER LOW IS STRONGER
THAN ANY OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE SUGGESTED...AND IT APPEARS
TO HAVE LED TO THE FORMATION OF A SFC LOW ABOUT 120 NM W OF
TAMPA BAY FLORIDA NEAR 27N85W. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE
LOW AND STRONG UPPER DIFFLUENCE NEAR THE W FLORIDA COAST HAVE
TRIGGERED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM THE YUCATAN CHANNEL
TO TAMPA BAY BETWEEN 80W-86W...AND SOME OF THE STRONGER ACTIVITY
IS POISED TO MOVE ONSHORE THE SW COAST OF FLORIDA WITHIN THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THE SHORTWAVE TROF IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS S FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS AND SHOULD ALLOW FOR A
GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN/TSTMS OVER THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.


Here is a more complete answer to your question.The above from the Discussion at 2:05 PM from TPC.Rain and more rain for Florida Penninsula.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

So now there is a surface low that has developed! Luckily right now it looks like all the rain and crap is heading slowly into the western coast just south of me! Looks like an awfully rainy day is in store for Manatee and Sarasota counties though!

[Decomdoug]

Looks like it will be on my coast in a few hours.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Sorry Doug...

[Decomdoug]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/amx_N0R_lp.htm

Soon I'll have to swim to work. Warnings popin up everywhere.

[chadtm80]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/amx_N0R_lp.htm

Soon I'll have to swim to work. Warnings popin up everywhere.

http://www.storm2k.nhcwx.com/hw3.php?fo ... x480&key=0

[Decomdoug]

Thank You

[southerngale]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/amx_N0R_lp.htm

Soon I'll have to swim to work. Warnings popin up everywhere.

I'd trade you if I could. We need the rain.

[Decomdoug]

Would be glad to send some your way. Starting to feel like I live in Seattle WA.

[GalvestonDuck]

Would be glad to send some your way. Starting to feel like I live in Seattle WA.

Nope, not much rain in Seattle for the past week and a half. Apparently, it's been rather nice up there. (Petsitting for a friend who is up there now in SeaTac.)