Tropical Storm or Hurricane Beatriz? What do you think?

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Will Beatriz reach hurricane status or remain as a tropical storm?

Tropical Storm
14
74%
Hurricane
5
26%
 
Total votes: 19

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HURAKAN
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Tropical Storm or Hurricane Beatriz? What do you think?

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jun 21, 2005 9:46 pm

Tonight TD 2-E is looking more than well-organized, a well-established CDO, the feeder bands are wraping around the center, and conditions seem to be conducive for further development. Thereafter, will future Beatriz reach hurricane status or she will be just another good-looking tropical storm. By the way, most of the cyclones that form in the EPAC enjoy a beautiful appearance not visible in many of the cyclones that form in the Atlantic Ocean. Arlene, Grace, and many others, do you hear that!!!!!! :lol: :lol:
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jun 21, 2005 9:49 pm

The way it has formed convection over its LLC(Which will most likely start forming into a Cdo over night). In the fact that banding has started to form. Also a cimiss sateliite est as good as any said this is near 1000.1 millibars. Quickscats show 40 knot wind arears northeast of the center. The nhc said that there could be 36 knots surface winds.

I say if this keeps it up this could be a hurricane with an the next 36 hours.
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#3 Postby dhweather » Tue Jun 21, 2005 9:54 pm

I suspect a strong TS is all that TAFB/AWFA will end up supporting
but it might make it to be a minimal hurricane. It's only got a small
window to do so.
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Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Tue Jun 21, 2005 9:58 pm

TS
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#5 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jun 21, 2005 10:00 pm

dhweather wrote:I suspect a strong TS is all that TAFB/AWFA will end up supporting
but it might make it to be a minimal hurricane. It's only got a small
window to do so.


By the way, it's AFWA (Air Force Weather Agency) :wink:

Here's what AFWA/XOGM is saying on 02E:

TPPZ1 KGWC 220030
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E
B. 21/2331Z (43)
C. 14.1N/6
D. 102.3W/6
E. FIVE/GOES10
F. T2.0/2.0/STT:S0.5/09HRS -21/2331Z-
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .35 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING DT OF 2.0. FT BASED ON DT. PT
SUPPORTS.

AODT: T2.0 (UNIFORM CDO)

JACOBSEN
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#6 Postby dhweather » Tue Jun 21, 2005 10:04 pm

senorpepr wrote:
dhweather wrote:I suspect a strong TS is all that TAFB/AWFA will end up supporting
but it might make it to be a minimal hurricane. It's only got a small
window to do so.


By the way, it's AFWA (Air Force Weather Agency) :wink:

Here's what AFWA/XOGM is saying on 02E:

TPPZ1 KGWC 220030
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E
B. 21/2331Z (43)
C. 14.1N/6
D. 102.3W/6
E. FIVE/GOES10
F. T2.0/2.0/STT:S0.5/09HRS -21/2331Z-
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .35 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING DT OF 2.0. FT BASED ON DT. PT
SUPPORTS.

AODT: T2.0 (UNIFORM CDO)

JACOBSEN


Prosecute my fingers, why dontcha? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

So, for 3 points, what does COMNAVMETOCCOM (no cheating) :D
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#7 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jun 21, 2005 10:09 pm

dhweather wrote:Prosecute my fingers, why dontcha? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Nah, it happens to the best of us. (Btw, I didn't mean to sound critiquing of a typo. Just wanted to clear that up for some of the newer visitors that are unaware of who AFWA is. :D)

dhweather wrote:So, for 3 points, what does COMNAVMETOCCOM (no cheating) :D
Ummm... I believe it's Commander (or Chief) Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command.

Gotta love those Naval acronyms... :roll:
Last edited by senorpepr on Tue Jun 21, 2005 10:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#8 Postby dhweather » Tue Jun 21, 2005 10:20 pm

senorpepr wrote:
dhweather wrote:Prosecute my fingers, why dontcha? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Nah, it happens to the best of us.

dhweather wrote:So, for 3 points, what does COMNAVMETOCCOM (no cheating) :D
Ummm... I believe it's Commander (or Chief) Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command.

Gotta love those Naval acronyms... :roll:


DING DING DING - we have a winner

Commander, Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command

Yes, the Navy has some extremely strange acronyms. I've had a barrel of
fun learning them. :roll:
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#9 Postby Andrew92 » Tue Jun 21, 2005 11:01 pm

Tropical Storm, but maybe 60-65 mph, so a strong one.

But no way this becomes a hurricane, IMO.

-Andrew92
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Scorpion

#10 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jun 21, 2005 11:10 pm

I think strong TS is likely.
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