Who sees "BRET" in the NEAR future?

#1 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:10 pm

Half of the month of June is already over, and it has been like a roller coaster of emotions, we already have the first tropical system of the year, and the first name has been utilized. But, we still have some areas that may give us a surprise in the next 2 weeks. Disturbances have been forming in the Caribbean, in the Gulf of Mexico, and even the central Atlantic is starting to wake up.

Now, based on your understanding of computer models, knowledge gathered over the years, and possibly, inner feelings, will "Bret" form in the next 2 weeks before the month ends or will it form in July?

By the way, the waiting game continues!!!!

Thanks,

Sandy Delgado
Miami, Florida

#2 Postby **george_r_1961** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:28 pm

Sandy just my opinion but the pattern now is largely unfavorable and I dont think that will change for at least several days. Being that we are more than halfway thru June and June is not typically a month we see tropical storms, I am gonna venture a guess that Brett will form in July. If im wrong i'lll take my crow with A1 sauce and a dash of pepper. :lol:

#3 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:29 pm

I wouldn't be surprised if it waits until August. Where is that option? Alot of hype right now...nothing going on.

cyclonaut · #4 Postby **cyclonaut** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:35 pm

I would be surprized if Bret waits all the way til Aug!..The waters are plenty warm & there have been hints of possibilties here & there..Conditions may be unfavorable now but I doubt that they stay that way for long.

Swimdude · #5 Postby **Swimdude** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:45 pm

I'm amused at the fact that this poll doesn't have the option of "AFTER July."

Then again, that would be pretty awful.

#6 Postby **patsmsg** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:50 pm

Swimdude wrote:I'm amused at the fact that this poll doesn't have the option of "AFTER July."

Then again, that would be pretty awful.

It would be boring, but hardly awful. Anyhow, I voted that he will form in the next two weeks, and since I'm never wrong... :wink:

#7 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:52 pm

swimdude exactly what I said a couple of posts up. There should be the after July option because it is VERY realistic. The water temps are warm enough but the upper-level winds have been hostile across the entire Caribbean and Atlantic since the beginning of Hurricane Season. When you have disturbances in the Southern Caribbean moving NE, you know the setup isn't even close to being there yet.

#8 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:56 pm

I have tried to edit but I can't add "AUGUST" to the options, if a moderator can do it, please do it.

cyclonaut · #9 Postby **cyclonaut** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 3:03 pm

boca_chris wrote:the upper-level winds have been hostile across the entire Caribbean and Atlantic since the beginning of Hurricane Season. When you have disturbances in the Southern Caribbean moving NE, you know the setup isn't even close to being there yet.

Did'nt we just have Arlene :?:

#10 Postby **Trader Ron** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 3:07 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:Sandy just my opinion but the pattern now is largely unfavorable and I dont think that will change for at least several days. Being that we are more than halfway thru June and June is not typically a month we see tropical storms, I am gonna venture a guess that Brett will form in July. If im wrong i'lll take my crow with A1 sauce and a dash of pepper.

George i have a cookbook of Crow recipes. :lol:

#11 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 3:08 pm

Arlene was getting sheared and invaded by dry air. She struggled greatly but did fight hard. It was a couple of hundreds west of FL yet FL got the worst of it.

#12 Postby **george_r_1961** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 3:24 pm

HURAKAN wrote:I have tried to edit but I can't add "AUGUST" to the options, if a moderator can do it, please do it.

Sandy we forgive u this time LOL

cyclonaut · #13 Postby **cyclonaut** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 4:38 pm

boca_chris wrote:Arlene was getting sheared and invaded by dry air. She struggled greatly but did fight hard. It was a couple of hundreds west of FL yet FL got the worst of it.

The thread is about if & when we will see "Bret"..Arlene was'nt much but she had a name & @ times tried to get her act together & made a run @ hurricane strength..Conditions are'nt optimal for a major hurricane but thats not what Sandy asked..Another weak system that manages to get a name & possibly becomes something stronger is possible in the coming weeks.

#14 Postby **Andrew92** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 4:39 pm

I say Bret forms in July....but in the first 10 days.

-Andrew92

#15 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 4:53 pm

August added after 37 votes already cast.

#16 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 4:59 pm

vbhoutex wrote:August added after 37 votes already cast.

Thanks for adding August, I think I was a little too excited with the idea of having Bret before August but statistically speaking, August should be in the poll.

Swimdude · #17 Postby **Swimdude** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 5:28 pm

Everyone that would've potentially voted August has already voted! :lol:

#18 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 8:47 pm

I think July is likely. It's still early.

CFL · #19 Postby **CFL** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 9:12 pm

I voted July.

Scorpion · #20 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jun 16, 2005 9:54 pm

I voted next week. This June is much more active and favorable than last.