Hrd surface maps for Ivan. Interesting

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Hrd surface maps for Ivan. Interesting

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jun 15, 2005 7:22 pm

Here is a list of surface winds maps from Ivan.

By the data here it is...

As it was moving away from south America around it supported around 105 knots. Which is a cat3 hurricane.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Later that day the storm bombed 115 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By early the 9th the storm had 138 knots. Or just below cat5.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Later that morning it had holded its own.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Around 12z it had weaken to as strong as Charley which is shown as 123 knots max. Which Ivan was 125 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By that Afternoon the storm had weaken to 116 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By that night it kepts its own.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By early on the 10th it was bombing again to 126 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Morning on the 10th 127 knots
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png


By the afternoon of the 10th the storm was weaking/Eyewall replacement cycle. 118 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

As it moved closer to Jamaica by afternoon of the 10th. It had weaken to 105 knots or a cat3. Which also I remember it was going through a eyewall replacement cycle.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Southwest of Jamaica.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By the morning of the 11th the storm was bombing again. Cat4 117 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By the early afternoon of the 11th it had reached its second peak. 137 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Kept its own
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png


Early on the 12th another eyewall replacement cycle.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png


Around the time the eye was clouded with on the radar with a double eye.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

South of the Caymens as a strong cat3.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Cat4 again as it was pulling its self together again.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

The third peak of Ivan happen early on the 13th as the winds reached 133 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Later that morning holding its own.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Slight weaking as it moved northwest to 130 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Later that afternoon still 130 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Stil holding its own at 132 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

The storm started to weaken once in the Gulf of Mexico early on the 14th 120 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By the early afternoon of the 14th the storm had weaken to 112 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By early on the 15th the storm was getting stronger again 120 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Early on the 15 it was weaken again to 110 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... 0/col04deg
.png

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By the afternoon of the 15th it was nearing a cat4 again.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Weaking as it moved closer to 105 knots
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png


ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

By 130 UTC the storm had weaken to around 100 knots cat3.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Landfall at 95 knots.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

So this is what the Hrd surface maps show Ivan. I think it was a cat5 at all three of its peaks. At around 140 knots. In with the 910 millibars to support it. As it was over the warm eddie over the mid Gulf it had reached cat4 again. Then weaken to a strong cat2 as it was moving into the coast.

Interesting none the less...

Arlene was 62 knots max over the central Gulf. Which using the same stardard would more likely be slightly stronger. As it weaken early that morning. But had tighten to 56 knots as it was moving inland from the 43 knots earlier.


Lets discuse.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Wed Jun 15, 2005 7:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jun 15, 2005 7:35 pm

What do you mean this is not recon? If I'm not mistaken, these graphics are driven from a mesh of all sorts of observations. The landfall graphic of Ivan even says that the analysis is based from ASOS, CMAN, Tower, SFMR, dropsonde, METAR, and buoy data. SFMR and dropsonde would represent recon...
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jun 15, 2005 7:43 pm

I'm sorry Seroperp, I should of said it was not just recon data but all data.
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#4 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jun 15, 2005 7:54 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I'm sorry Seroperp, I should of said it was not just recon data but all data.


I see, simple mistake. :wink:
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