Tighter center trying to form?

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rockyman
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Tighter center trying to form?

#1 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 11, 2005 10:59 am

Looking at the latest IR and radar loops, it looks like a smaller center is trying to close off on the northern edge of the "big hole"...due south of the AL/FL border...anyone else see this?
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#2 Postby FWBHurricane » Sat Jun 11, 2005 11:00 am

I see it...its clearly visible. Also..she has been doing some slightl wobbles to the NE...no doubt a AL/FL border landfall..maybe Pensacola.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 11, 2005 11:01 am

Perfectly normal for a tropical cyclone which is moving to the coast to tighten up. It doe's not have much time.
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Re: Tighter center trying to form?

#4 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sat Jun 11, 2005 11:04 am

rockyman wrote:Looking at the latest IR and radar loops, it looks like a smaller center is trying to close off on the northern edge of the "big hole"...due south of the AL/FL border...anyone else see this?

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?p=900018#900018

I noticed that earlier on another thread at the bottom. It's almost as if she's trying to be cane, if only for a moment before landfall.
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#5 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sat Jun 11, 2005 11:27 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html

Check out the dry air working it's way in around Arlene.
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Anonymous

#6 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jun 11, 2005 11:37 am

Arlene is definitely a fighter.
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#7 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sat Jun 11, 2005 11:39 am

~Floydbuster wrote:Arlene is definitely a fighter.

Big time. About to make landfall.
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cyclonaut

#8 Postby cyclonaut » Sat Jun 11, 2005 11:39 am

~Floydbuster wrote:Arlene is definitely a fighter.

I was just about to post the same sentence. :)
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#9 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jun 11, 2005 11:54 am

It's too late. She's starting to feel the affects of landfall. Radar shows the center starting to fall apart. No hurricane.
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#10 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:10 pm

Think your right. No Hurricane here. Falling apart already. Shes sure a fighter though that dry air has been wrapped around her southwest and now all the southern side of the storm being sucked in like a vacum.
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Looks like landfall soon at Gulf Shores

#11 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:30 pm

the big "hole" is really just dry air...the center looks to be almost to the coast at Gulf Shores...looks like it might slide into eastern Mobile Bay or stay just inland on the Baldwin County side.
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StormChasr

#12 Postby StormChasr » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:49 pm

Gonna be a lanfall in the EXACT same place as Ivan--just over the Fla border in Alabama. Gulf shores looks like a good bet.
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#13 Postby dhweather » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:54 pm

I guess the Florabama is groud zero again.
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#14 Postby Brent » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:00 pm

Looks like a broad area from Gulf Shores to about Pensacola Beach.

:(
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#15 Postby Brett Adair » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:10 pm

Perdido Key, Alabama looks to be the landfall point. Around where I stayed last summer. (Pheonix VII Condo's) My buddies from ABC 33/40 are down there and they are reporting this as WEAK! I would agree...at this point, there is center reformation undergoing, but it is wayyyyyy too late. Arlene down to 60 per latest NHC and she is now on the downward spiral. Torando threat looks to be lessening as well with all of this dry air intruding. Heavy rainfall is definately going to be a probelm on the west die.

Live feed via Jim Williams at Hurricane Track from Gulf Shores West Beach...

http://hurricanetrack.com/live.html
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#16 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:16 pm

I don't think Arlene's winds are much over 50mph at this point, she looks absolutely aweful. Dry air has really taken the punch out of her.
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#17 Postby Brett Adair » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:17 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:I don't think Arlene's winds are much over 50mph at this point, she looks absolutely aweful. Dry air has really taken the punch out of her.


I believe you are right, PTrackerLA. My guys in Gulf Shores report that they highest gust they have recieved during the entire event is 52mph. That was felt last hour as a pretty intense feeder band came onshore ahead of the "eye wall".
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