What about the Carribean?

#1 Postby **skysummit** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:35 am

Any models showing any signs of development with all the convection in the Carribean? Just curious to know if we'll have anything to look forward to next weekend.

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:39 am

There has been some mention in the AFD's in AL/GA/FL this week about possible development around Hispanola and then into the Eastern Gulf/Peninsula, but I've heard nothing more. There doesn't seem to be anything at the surface and it's close to big mountains, so development doesn't seem to be imminent. If something were to form and cross Hispanola it wouldn't survive because of the big mountains. It has a better chance in the Bahamas.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #3 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:40 am

There seems to be a pretty interesting area south of Hati. Worth Watching.

#4 Postby **skysummit** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:40 am

Ok, thanks!

#5 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:42 am

In the next few days NOGAPS and GFS forecast a low pressure to develop near Jamaica and track northeastward toward eastern Cuba, central or eastern Bahamas and to the open Atlantic. GFS is the most aggressive of the two by intensifying the system to a powerful storm. Let see what happens and as always, trends should be watched.

x-y-no · #6 Postby **x-y-no** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:45 am

The GFS spins up a little system and takes it northeast across eastern Cuba into the Bahamas in about four to five days.

The other models don't seem to see this however, at least not with the same level of enthusiasm.

Jan

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #7 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:45 am

So if that Bret then it will be a fishy?

x-y-no · #8 Postby **x-y-no** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:46 am

HURAKAN wrote:In the next few days NOGAPS and GFS forecast a low pressure to develop near Jamaica and track northeastward toward eastern Cuba, central or eastern Bahamas and to the open Atlantic. GFS is the most aggressive of the two by intensifying the system to a powerful storm. Let see what happens and as always, trends should be watched.

You beat me to it! :-)

x-y-no · #9 Postby **x-y-no** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:46 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:So if that Bret then it will be a fishy?

Yes.

Well, let me amend that ... it would affect the Bahamas.

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 9:49 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:So if that Bret then it will be a fishy?

If it develops in the Caribbean it has the opportunity of crossing Cuba and/or the Bahamas as Bret, so it wouldn't be a fish.

What about the Carribean?

What about the Carribean?

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