Convective burst?

James · #1 Postby **James** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 4:06 am

It seems like there is a burst of convection going on not too far from the centre. Could this be the scenario that the discussion was talking about?

Thunder44 · #2 Postby **Thunder44** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 4:08 am

Probably. We'll just have to see the next few hours how significant this burst will be.

rolltide · #3 Postby **rolltide** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 4:33 am

Certainly looks that way. Will it be over the center this time?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #4 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 4:39 am

Wow look at this satellite. That convection is forming right over the LLC. The radar shows a half closed eye!!! The landfall I think will be close to Mobile.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

James · #5 Postby **James** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 4:47 am

Interesting, it would seem that Arlene is trying her best to make a recovery before landfall. It's gonna be close.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #6 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 4:50 am

I can't believe it Arlene appears to have a central core finally. Meaning she gots everything going around one center. The banding is looking good. In if this area of convection keeps building it will become a cdo. A eye could even close off.

I'm enjoying my crow.

BamaMan · #7 Postby **BamaMan** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 5:00 am

Either way, It's getting might breezy here in ol Mobile. Startin to get our first sign of rain also. Blowing roughly out of the NE around 15-20 with gusts to around 25-30, and it's still very early in the ballgame
We shall see :eek:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #8 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 5:04 am

It has grown larger. If it stays for another hour or so it could very well be a CDO. Lets see if that eye wents to poke out when its making landfall.

Thunder44 · #9 Postby **Thunder44** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 5:04 am

Looks like cloud tops are warming somewhat.

BamaMan · #10 Postby **BamaMan** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 5:10 am

Rut Roh

James · #11 Postby **James** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 5:11 am

Yes, it does a bit. If it persists for a little bit it can at least allow Arlene to maintain her current intensity perhaps.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #12 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 5:12 am

It appears that the whole storm has wraped into one center. This baby is alot more oregnized the most it has been in its life. If convection keeps on forming then this thing will make me eat crow(Hurricane) I don't really see any signs of warming in the clouds just spreading.

Website · #13 Postby **FritzPaul** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 5:29 am

WEEBLE-WABBLE-WEEBLE-WABBLE :roll:

Looking @ the IR, I can see the NW movement, but I just
checked out the radar out of Mobile. It APPEARS to show
that darn WNW movement again.

I'm so confused that my brain is starting to wobble. :lol:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #14 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 11, 2005 5:39 am

Looking at satellite loops it appears that for the first time in its life it looks like a strong tropical storm.

Convective burst?

Convective burst?

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